Prediction Paderborn vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the DFB Pokal on 29/10/2025

Match outlook: David vs Goliath at the Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn welcome Bayer 04 Leverkusen to the Home Deluxe Arena in a tantalising DFB Pokal second-round tie on 29/10/2025. The little stadium in Paderborn — capacity 15,000 — will host a game that pits a red-hot home side against one of Germany’s most dangerous attacking forces. Paderborn arrive with an astonishing domestic run, five straight wins in recent reports and an overall latest form showing seven wins, two draws and a single loss in the last ten matches. Their confidence is tangible: wins over Dynamo Dresden and Arminia Bielefeld show resilience, and Mika Baur earned plaudits as the best performer in the latest victory. Yet cup nights elevate intensity and Leverkusen travel with clear pedigree, recent Bundesliga winning momentum and a last DFB Pokal meeting where they brushed Paderborn aside 3-1 in the Round of 16 in 2023.

Tactical clues and the numbers that matter

The raw shot and danger metrics tip the balance toward the visitors. Leverkusen average 20 total shots with a striking 65 dangerous attacks on record, while Paderborn’s attacking output is healthy but comparatively modest — 10 total shots and 30 dangerous attacks. Leverkusen’s most recent performances include solid wins and a notable 2-0 success over SC Freiburg, with Aleix García singled out as an 8.4-rated best player in that match. Paderborn’s string of victories shows they are no pushovers at home, but the gulf in sustained attacking threat is clear in the provided stats. The head-to-head history in the cup also favors Leverkusen, and match odds from the market underline that sentiment: the away win is priced at 1.62 with an implied probability around 61.7%.

Referee, atmosphere and momentum

Patrick Ittrich will take charge, overseeing what promises to be a lively, high-stakes evening. The Home Deluxe Arena’s compact setting will produce noise and atmosphere that could buoy the hosts, but Leverkusen’s recent high-volume attacking play and Champions-level experience in fixtures like the heavy Paris Saint Germain contest earlier in October suggest they can absorb pressure and turn matches with clinical finishing.

To refine your approach when weighing markets, consider reading strategic guidance such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and practical mindset advice like How to have emotional control when placing bets? — both useful for cup scenarios where form and single-game variance collide.

Betting suggestion Based on form, attacking metrics and bookmaker probability, the best single selection here is the 1X2 market: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win (Away) at 1.62. The away side’s superior shot volume and dangerous attacks, recent Bundesliga momentum and favorable head-to-head make Leverkusen the value play for this DFB Pokal second-round clash.