Prediction Paradou AC vs ES Mostaganem 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 1 on 16/10/2025

Match preview: struggling hosts, measured travellers

Paradou AC return to Stade Ahmed-Falek on October 16th under heavy pressure. Sitting 16th after seven rounds in the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 season, Paradou have picked up just a single point and are yet to find consistent form. Their recent run reads like a cautionary tale: a string of defeats peppered by only one draw and an isolated victory in the broader recent sample. Home figures underline the worry — just two goals scored at home this campaign while conceding five, and only one clean sheet to their name. The shot numbers are not terrible on paper — Paradou have recorded 39 total shots with 21 on target — but that attacking promise hasn’t translated into results or consistent finishing.

ES Mostaganem arrive with steadier footing

ES Mostaganem travel to Hydra positioned 10th with eight points from seven matches. Their record is far from flawless, but it’s notably healthier than the hosts: two wins, two draws and three defeats. Mostaganem bring defensive solidity to the encounter — four goals conceded across the league and three clean sheets in their statistical tally — and they showed they can grind out narrow wins, for example the 1-0 victory over ES Sétif and competitive draws away at MC Oran and MB Rouissat. Their last outing was a narrow 1-0 defeat to MC Alger, yet their away numbers suggest a team compact enough to make life difficult on the road; they’ve scored zero away goals in the tallies provided but have also only conceded three away.

Tactical snapshot and head-to-head edge

On the head-to-head front, the recent meeting between the sides favours Mostaganem, who won 3-1 at Paradou in June. That result, combined with Paradou’s alarming run (six defeats in seven league matches) paints a clear narrative: the hosts are fragile, while Mostaganem are organized and capable of taking results without free-flowing football. Both teams show modest attacking returns — Paradou with three goals in seven league matches, Mostaganem with four — suggesting this fixture may be decided by narrow margins rather than goal fests.

What to expect

Expect a cagey affair. Paradou’s need to change course could push them forward more than usual, but their struggles in converting chances and a porous defensive record make them vulnerable to conceding on the counter. Mostaganem’s strength relative to Paradou and recent history between the clubs indicates they will be disciplined and hard to break down.

Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals. Based on both teams’ low scoring records in the data provided, the recent head-to-head and Mostaganem’s defensive steadiness, this matchup looks destined to produce few clear chances and a low-scoring outcome.