Prediction Pau vs Dunkerque 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ligue 2 on 24/10/2025

Match preview: Pau aiming to consolidate at Stade Du Hameau Idron 1

Pau welcome Dunkerque to Bizanos on 24 October in a clash that looks like a chance for the home side to press on with a promotion push. Sitting second in the table after ten matches, Pau have built a string of results that underline consistency: six wins, three draws and only a single defeat so far. Their latest run includes four wins in five across September and October, and a 1-1 draw away at Grenoble last weekend which kept their momentum intact. Pau’s home numbers are particularly persuasive — eight goals scored and just four conceded at Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, along with four clean sheets that point to a compact defensive unit able to frustrate visitors.

Form and styles: Dunkerque arrive bruised and inconsistent

Dunkerque occupy 13th position and arrive with a far more irregular pattern of results. Two wins, four draws and four defeats in ten matches reflect a side capable of flashes — notably a 6-2 home win over Amiens — but also prone to struggle, especially away from home where their goals scored figure is limited to three with five conceded. Their recent reverse to Montpellier last weekend ended in a 1-0 loss and reinforced a patchy run that has seen wins interspersed with defeats and draws. Dunkerque’s shot numbers and attacking metrics show they can create opportunities, but their away defensive record and fewer clean sheets suggest they could be exposed against a Pau side who defend well and press efficiently.

Head-to-head and momentum: a tight history, but the edge is with Pau

The most recent meeting between the sides ended 1-1 earlier in the season, a sign that these teams can cancel each other out; however, the context has shifted. Pau’s home form and table position give them the psychological edge. Their ability to grind out results — five wins across their last six competitive outings at various venues — and the presence of strong performers in recent fixtures, highlighted by Rayan Touzghar’s standout display in the Grenoble draw, point to a team that knows how to manage games. Dunkerque’s Vincent Sasso was their top-rated player in defeat to Montpellier, but isolated individual displays have not yet translated into consistent away returns.

Betting suggestion

Given the balance of form, home defensive solidity, and the market’s confidence reflected in the 2.15 home price, the clearest value sits with Pau to win in the 1X2 market. Pau’s record at Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, the comparative fragility of Dunkerque on the road and the bookmaker probability that favors the hosts combine to make a Pau victory the most likely outcome. Bet: Pau (Home) to win (1) — odds 2.15.