Prediction PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Eredivisie on 25/10/2025

Context and form

This one shapes up as a classic clash between a high-flying away side and a home team desperate to arrest a worrying run. PEC Zwolle sit down in 15th, with just eight points from nine games; their home form has been patchy and the goals have been hard to come by — nine scored across the campaign and 17 conceded. Their recent file reads like a team that can be outgunned: a 0-4 hammering by PSV and narrow defeats to the better teams in the division, though they did salvage a 2-2 draw away at NAC Breda last week where Jamiro Monteiro produced the kind of rating that kept Zwolle competitive on the day.

NEC Nijmegen arrive in Zwolle with a far healthier league position and far more attacking threat. Sixth in the table with 14 points, NEC have been producing fireworks at both ends — 25 goals scored and 17 conceded — and their recent matches have been entertaining affairs, capped by a 3-3 draw with FC Twente last time out where Thomas Ouwejan stood out. NEC’s form shows more consistency and a clear offensive edge; their shot metrics underline that, with a heavy volume of attempts and a high percentage of fixtures finishing with more than 2.5 goals.

Match dynamics and key angles

On paper, NEC’s attacking numbers dwarf Zwolle’s. Total shots and shots on target favor the visitors heavily, and NEC’s fixtures have often been high-scoring; the data shows a strong lean toward over 2.5 goals in their matches. PEC Zwolle have shown resilience occasionally — two clean sheets recorded in nine — but they have conceded heavily away from home and haven’t found the net consistently at MAC³PARK Stadion this campaign.

Historically the sides last met earlier in the year with NEC taking a narrow 1-0 win, a reminder that NEC can impose themselves even when the scoreline stays tight. Bookmakers also give NEC the edge: the away win is priced at 2.14, with a draw and home victory available at 3.70 and 3.10 respectively. That market view aligns with the patterns we’ve seen on the pitch — NEC bring both firepower and momentum, while Zwolle look fragile defensively and inconsistent going forward.

Betting suggestion

Based on recent form, goal patterns and the market outlook, the strongest single selection here is NEC Nijmegen to win (Away) at the available odds of 2.14. NEC’s attacking output and superior shot metrics suggest they are the side most likely to claim three points in Zwolle.