Match preview
Piast Gliwice welcome Motor Lublin to Stadion Miejski in Gliwice on 20 February in what promises to be an intense Ekstraklasa fixture. Both teams sit in the lower half of the table with Piast in 12th on 26 points and Motor in 14th on 24, but recent form and underlying numbers paint a picture that favours the home side. Piast arrive after a mixed run that still contains more wins than losses in recent weeks and will be keen to bounce back after a 3-0 reverse at Lech Poznań on 15 February, a game in which Jakub Lewicki stood out despite the scoreline. Motor, meanwhile, have shown they can score freely at times—28 goals so far this season—but their defensive frailties have left them vulnerable, and they too conceded three in their last outing against Lechia Gdańsk where Bartosz Wolski was the pick of the visitors.
Form, trends and what the numbers say
Statistically Piast edge this tie. At home Piast have registered seven wins overall this season and seven clean sheets, while they average more total attacking entries and dangerous attacks per match than Motor (89.33 attacks and 67.1 dangerous attacks for Piast versus 78.43 and 59.81 for Motor). Those figures suggest Piast create higher-quality chances over the course of 90 minutes. Motor’s attack is lively—78 shots on target across the season—and their matches often carry entertainment value: their over 2.5 percentage sits north of 50% and they’ve been involved in several high-scoring encounters in recent months. Head-to-head so far this season produced a 0-0 stalemate back in August, but that result may not reflect the current momentum and home advantage Piast now hold.
Bookmakers make Piast favorites at around 2.14 for the home win, with the draw and Motor priced at 3.25 and 3.40 respectively. Those odds match the narrative: a home side creating more sustained pressure and a visiting team that can hurt opponents but tends to concede.
Match dynamics to expect
Expect Piast to control territory and probe early, using their better chance-creation to force mistakes. Motor will likely look to hit on transitions and set-pieces, banking on their ability to find the net in spells. The most probable pattern is a home-led game with the away side producing flashes—so goals are possible, but the balance of risk points to a Piast victory.
Betting suggestion
Back Piast Gliwice to win (1) in the 1X2 market at the available price (around 2.14). This selection combines the home team’s stronger chance creation, superior clean-sheet record at home, and the bookmaker’s favouring of Piast. For those interested in goal-timing and market nuance, consider reading about the right time to place bets on goal markets and how how and when to hedge in sports betting can help manage risk when backing favorites.
