Prediction Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Primera Division on 20/10/2025

Match context and mood in Colonia del Sacramento

Plaza Colonia welcome Liverpool to the Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici on 20/10/2025 in what promises to be a testing evening for the hosts. The stadium’s modest 4,500 capacity will create an intimate atmosphere, but Plaza Colonia carry the weight of a season that has gone largely wrong so far. Sitting 16th in the Clausura table with just five points from eleven matches, their recent run reads alarmingly; one win, two draws and seven defeats across their last ten, including a heavy 6-1 reverse to Boston River that still lingers in the memory. Their defensive frailties are clear — 21 goals conceded — and they have managed just seven goals in the campaign. The most recent outing ended in a 0-1 loss to Atlético Progreso, with Miqueas Gabriel Redín Morales rated the standout on what was otherwise another frustrating night.

Liverpool arrive with control but not invincibility

Liverpool travel north sitting fifth and in considerably healthier form. Nineteen points from eleven matches, a positive goal differential and a more consistent results sheet mark them out as the clear favourites on paper. Their recent sequence features five wins, three draws and two defeats, and they arrive after grinding out a 2-2 draw with Racing where Javier Vallejo earned the match’s best rating. Statistically Liverpool boast more firepower — 15 goals scored in the Clausura — and superior attacking metrics across the season: higher averages for shots, shots on target and dangerous attacks. They also have a strong record for clean sheets, underlining a side that can control games when required. The bookmakers have reflected that balance: Liverpool priced at 2.00 to win, with the draw and home victory at 3.25 and 3.50 respectively.

Tactical expectation and head-to-head notes

This fixture historically offers strikes and chances; the last meeting in May finished 1-1, showing that Plaza Colonia can find a way to trouble Liverpool on their day. However, the gulf in form — and Liverpool’s ability to both create and close down chances — suggests the away side will aim to keep their disciplined shape and exploit Plaza Colonia’s defensive lapses. With Andrés Matonte appointed as referee, the game could be tightly controlled, adding to the likelihood of Liverpool managing the tempo.

Betting suggestion: Back Liverpool to win (Away) in the 1X2 market at 2.00. This selection aligns with Liverpool’s superior form, attacking statistics and overall stability, while Plaza Colonia’s porous defence and poor recent results make a home upset unlikely.