Prediction Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the EFL Trophy on 11/11/2025

Match context and immediate form

Port Vale welcome Fleetwood Town to Vale Park on 11 November in what promises to be a compelling Northern Group Stage clash of the EFL Trophy. The scoreboard in the group table already paints this as a clash between two sides who have found the net with regularity in the competition: both arrive with six goals apiece from their opening group fixtures, and both carry the confidence of winning their two group matches so far. Yet recent league outings have tempered that momentum — Port Vale arrived at Vale Park off the back of a heavy 4-0 defeat to Bolton Wanderers on 8 November, while Fleetwood were beaten 2-1 at Crawley Town the same day. Those results suggest neither side is bulletproof, and that makes this fixture ripe for intrigue at a stadium that holds close to 19,052 supporters.

Trends, strengths and tactical reading

Statistically, the edge at home tips toward Port Vale. Their group campaign shows a compact defensive record — one goal conceded — and their home attacking numbers are respectable with four goals recorded on home turf and an active shot profile across recent matches. Fleetwood, meanwhile, present an aggressive attacking footprint too: their average shots and dangerous attacks are slightly higher, and their group performances show a tendency toward open, goal-filled games, with both of their early group matches surpassing the 2.5-goal line. The pair share a recent head-to-head stalemate earlier in the year — a 1-1 draw in League Two back in March — which serves as a reminder that these teams can cancel each other out when the tactical stakes rise.

For punters thinking through markets, there is logic on both sides. The bookmakers have made Port Vale clear favourites at 1.57 in the match-winner market, reflecting their stronger home profile and current first-place position in the group. Fleetwood’s numbers, however, underline a propensity for higher-scoring affairs and sustained attacking intent, so the goal markets will attract interest for those who expect an open game under Vale Park lights.

What to watch on match night

Keep an eye on early tempo and how each side reacts after recent defeats; the team that buries the first opportunity is likely to force the game into a pattern that suits them. Vale Park’s atmosphere and Port Vale’s home defensive record in the group stage are crucial variables — if Port Vale can steady after the Bolton drubbing, they should control the contest. For bettors curious about market selection and timing, further reading on broader strategy can help: Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets offers a useful primer. And for the psychological edge inside match-day betting, consider the guidance in How to have emotional control when placing bets?.

Betting suggestion: Back Port Vale to win (1) at the 1X2 market. The home side’s group form, home goal record and the bookmakers’ clear favoritism at 1.57 point to Port Vale as the most consistent value pick in this fixture.