Prediction Portsmouth vs Millwall 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Championship on 22/11/2025

Match mood at Fratton Park: can Portsmouth halt a slide?

Portsmouth host Millwall at Fratton Park on 22 November 2025 in what shapes up as a pivotal mid-table clash in the Championship. The venue will be lively — a capacity of 20,899 — but the noise may not be enough to lift a Portsmouth side struggling for form and consistency. The home side sit 20th with just 14 points from 15 matches and an alarming sequence of results that reads like a cautionary tale: a lone win in ten, heavy defeats and low goal returns. Recent scorelines — a 3-2 loss to Hull City, a shutout draw with Wrexham, and a 4-0 reverse at Birmingham City — underline defensive frailties and an offense that has managed only 12 goals all season. Terry Devlin’s bright rating in the recent Hull game is one of the few positives, but overall Portsmouth look brittle and short of momentum.

Millwall arrive with momentum and sensible efficiency

Millwall travel in far better spirits. Sitting 6th with 25 points, they have balanced attacking returns with game management, evidenced by 7 wins and a better recent run — several wins and draws peppered into their latest ten fixtures. Their recent 1-1 draw with Preston and earlier decisive wins over Leicester and Stoke hint at a team comfortable in different scenarios: cutting out mistakes at home and taking chances on the road. Millwall’s away profile shows they often get both teams on the scoresheet when away, and they maintain comparable shot figures and dangerous attacks to Portsmouth. Mihailo Ivanovic’s solid performance in the Preston draw is a reminder Millwall possess players who can make a difference in tight matches.

Key numbers and trends to watch

Statistically this is intriguingly balanced. Both clubs have conceded 20 goals across the campaign, but Portsmouth’s lower scoring rate and recent slide make their situation more precarious. The betting market currently prices both a Portsmouth win and a Millwall win at 2.70 with the draw at 3.10 — a sign bookmakers see this as a finely poised encounter. Recent head-to-head data favours Millwall too: they beat Portsmouth 2-1 in April, which will give the visitors confidence.

If you’re considering goal markets, bear in mind the mixed signals: low over/under percentages overall but high away BTTS figures for Millwall, so there’s a real argument for expecting a competitive game with goals at both ends. For readers interested in timing goal bets and spotting the best moments to back totals, check this useful piece on the right time to place bets on goal markets. And if you want to sharpen your approach to pre-match analysis, tools and data can help — see learn about some of the tools that can help with analysis.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Form, league position and recent results tilt the scales in Millwall’s favour. Portsmouth’s defensive lapses and lack of goals make them vulnerable at home, while Millwall’s confidence and away tendencies suggest they can take a result from Fratton Park. The market’s equal pricing for both sides opens value on the visitors.

Betting suggestion: back Millwall to win (Away) in the 1X2 market. The away odds at 2.70 represent value given Millwall’s superior form, recent head-to-head win, and Portsmouth’s troubling trajectory. Stake responsibly and consider a conservative stake size — Portsmouth can still spring surprises at home, so manage risk accordingly.