Match preview: Home comfort versus away frailty on a cold Radom evening
Radomiak Radom welcome Arka Gdynia to Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza on 30/01/2026 in a clash that feels lopsided on paper. The hosts arrive in confident mood — 7th in the table with 26 points from 18 matches and a recent run that reads like a team finding its rhythm: D-W-W-W-D-W-L-W-W-D. Radomiak’s attacking numbers at home are eye-catching: 22 goals scored on home soil and only seven conceded, a sign of a side that presses forward while remaining compact at the back. The venue’s intimate 5,000 capacity will add atmosphere and judges will note Radomiak’s ability to make home advantage count.
Arka Gdynia, 12th with 21 points, carry one glaring stat into this fixture: just 2 away goals all season and a leaky away defence that has shipped 23. Their recent friendlies show promise with wins, but league form tells a tougher story — 6 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats overall. If Arka are to take anything from Radom they will need vastly improved efficiency in the final third and a defence prepared for Radomiak’s robust home attack.
Key context and how it shapes betting angles
The bookmakers are aligned with the scoreboard: Home is priced at 1.90, a draw at 3.25 and the away win offered at 4.20. That market view mirrors the underlying metrics — Radomiak’s home potency (22 goals) versus Arka’s away impotence (2 goals) is a stark contrast. Head-to-head history gives a degree of caution — the teams drew 1-1 in their last Ekstraklasa meeting — but form and venue tilt the balance heavily toward Radomiak.
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Final prediction and betting suggestion
Given the data — Radomiak’s strong home scoring record, Arka’s catastrophic away scoring figures (just 2 away goals this season) and the market favouring the hosts — the clearest value is on the home win in the 1X2 market. Back Radomiak Radom to win at 1.90. It’s a pragmatic pick rather than a speculative punt: probability and underlying stats point to a home victory. Suggested stake: moderate (reflecting standard bankroll management) — back the home win as the primary selection and consider a smaller backup stake on Radomiak to win with both teams not scoring if you want tighter risk (given Arka’s low away goal count).
