
Match context and form line-up
Radomiak Radom return to Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza on 28 November for a midweek clash that pits an in-form leader against a club riding mixed momentum. The hosts have produced flashes of attacking promise this season — 29 goals across 16 matches and an impressive 18 scored at home — but those numbers sit alongside a defensive fragility that has seen them concede 28 overall. Recent results for Radomiak have been a seesaw: a heavy 4-1 reverse at Lech Poznań on 23 November followed by earlier wins that kept them competitive. Their league standing of 8th reflects that inconsistency: capable of bright spells but vulnerable to collective lapses.
Górnik Zabrze roll into Radom as the table-toppers and the more stable outfit on paper. With 9 wins, 3 draws and only 4 losses in 16 matches, and a healthy +12 goal difference, they carry momentum and structure. Their away record is solid rather than spectacular — eight goals on the road and only six conceded away — but the defensive soundness is notable. Górnik’s recent run demonstrates resilience: a 1-1 draw at Wisła Płock on 21 November preceded a sequence of positive results that have steadied their top position. The heads-up here is that Górnik blend efficient attacking moments with discipline at the back, a combination that often proves decisive on smaller pitches like Radomiak’s 5,000-capacity stadium.
Tactical edges and match-up dynamics
The clash promises an entertaining duel of styles. Radomiak’s tendency to produce matches with goals — their home fixtures have a 75% over 2.5 frequency — contrasts with Górnik’s more measured approach and better defensive numbers overall. Historical context adds spice: these sides met earlier in the season in a 3-2 thriller when Górnik prevailed, a reminder that Radomiak can test the visitors if allowed space. Yet, the raw data favours the away side: more total shots, stronger averages in attacks and dangerous attacks for Górnik hint that they will be the side to create higher-quality chances.
For readers who want to refine their market selection and timing, it’s worth reviewing broader betting principles such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and the specifics of when to commit on goal lines through The right time to place bets on goal markets. Those guides help align statistical read with market timing — particularly valuable in fixtures where both sides have clear but contrasting strengths.
Betting suggestion: 1X2 — back Górnik Zabrze to win. The away side’s superior form, defensive balance on the road and bigger attacking output make them the most likely winners in a tight encounter; current market pricing around 2.30 offers value against the home team’s inconsistency. Stake cautiously and consider combining this with a small over/under hedge in-play if the opening half keeps the scoreline flat.