Match overview
The Group Stage drama of the AFC Champions League Two returns to Mitr Phol Stadium on 27 November 2025, where Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC welcome Thép Xanh Nam Định in what looks set to be a decisive fifth-round clash. Both sides arrive on equal points in the group table — six apiece — and the stakes are tangible: a win here could swing momentum as the competition heads towards its final group matches. Ratchaburi, occupying third, boast an eye-catching goals tally in the group with 13 scored and six conceded, while the Vietnamese visitors sit second with a more modest five for and five against. The last meeting between these teams produced a 3-1 victory for Thép Xanh Nam Định in September, reminding Ratchaburi that history alone won’t decide this encounter.
Form and trends
Recent results paint contrasting portraits. Ratchaburi arrive in Ratchaburi coming off a hard-fought 0-0 draw with BG Pathum United but have shown potent attacking form in the weeks prior, including emphatic wins and goal-rich performances across competitions. Their group play reflects that attacking edge: high shot volumes, strong shots on target numbers and a reliable habit of finding the net — three of their four group matches have produced more than two goals. Thép Xanh Nam Định, meanwhile, have been steadier defensively but less prolific in front of goal. Their latest domestic cup win over Long An gives them momentum, yet their group scoring rate is lower and away numbers suggest they can be contained when opponents press with intent. The head-to-head result earlier in the campaign gives the visitors confidence, but form and underlying shot metrics lean towards an open affair at Mitr Phol.
How this one could play out
Expect pace and intent from the hosts, who generate a high volume of inside-box shots and dangerous attacks at home. Thép Xanh Nam Định will look to manage space, absorb pressure and hit on the counter, but the statistical profile of this fixture tilts towards goals. Ratchaburi’s recent matches often end with multiple goals, and the group’s scoring dynamics suggest neither side will be content to park the bus for 90 minutes. Home support in a 10,000-capacity Mitr Phol Stadium should buoy the hosts, while the visitors will rely on discipline to frustrate and seek opportunities to replicate their earlier win.
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Prediction
Given Ratchaburi’s attacking momentum at home, their superior shot metrics and the Group Stage tendency toward goal-heavy encounters, this looks like a match that will produce multiple goals. Thép Xanh Nam Định’s defensive resilience keeps them in the contest, but the hosts’ firepower should be enough to force an open game and at least one decisive moment in Ratchaburi’s favor.
Betting suggestion
Pick the goal market: Over 2.5 goals. The data supports a match with three or more strikes — Ratchaburi’s 13 group goals, frequent over-2.5 outcomes for the hosts, and the visitors’ earlier 3-1 H2H win point to an open contest. Stake cautiously, align the wager with your bankroll plan, and consider live trade options if the game opens early and one side asserts control.