Prediction Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the La Liga on 13/09/2025

Preview: Anoeta set for a high-stakes afternoon

Real Sociedad host Real Madrid at Anoeta Stadium on 13/09/2025 in what promises to be a stark contrast of fortunes. The hosts arrive rooted to 16th in La Liga after three rounds with just two points, while Real Madrid sit top of the table with a perfect nine from three. San Sebastián’s 40,000-capacity ground will be buzzing, but the noise may not be enough to lift a Real Sociedad side that has struggled to find consistency in recent weeks.

Form and recent encounters

Real Sociedad’s preseason and early-season results read uneven and worrying: draws against Espanyol and Valencia sandwich a narrow defeat to Real Oviedo, and a deeper memory of losses stretching back into last season against Real Madrid. Their overall record across three league matches shows zero wins, two draws and a loss, with three goals scored and four conceded. The club’s form string paints a telling picture: a sequence heavy with draws and defeats and only a single win in the broader sample, which underscores the defensive fragility and inability to consistently close out matches.

Real Madrid, by contrast, have steamrolled opponents through August. Undefeated across the latest league fixtures highlighted by wins over Osasuna, Oviedo and Mallorca, they arrive in the Basque Country with momentum and efficiency. Statistically Madrid bring the sharper attacking profile to the contest: higher averages in total shots, shots on target and dangerous attacks. Clean sheets are also on their side, with two kept already, reflecting their balance between threat and control.

Tactical edge and what to expect

On paper the gulf shows in attacking metrics — Real Madrid’s attack averages and dangerous attacks far outstrip Real Sociedad’s numbers. Anoeta can be a fortress for the home team on its day, but Real Sociedad’s lack of wins and their difficulty in posting clean sheets will force them into a reactive posture. Madrid’s ability to convert sustained attacking play into goals, demonstrated by six goals in three matches, suggests they will press and probe the home backline relentlessly.

Head-to-head history from the close of last season also tilts toward the visitors: the most recent La Liga meeting ended 2-0 to Real Madrid. That result is still fresh in the memory and will have an impact on confidence and expectation.

Betting suggestion

Considering form, attacking statistics, recent head-to-head and the market odds, the clearest, value-driven bet is on the 1X2 market: back Real Madrid to win. The bookmakers price the away victory at 1.57 with an implied probability around 64%, a fair reflection of Madrid’s superiority and current run. This selection aligns with their offensive efficiency, defensive stability and the practical difficulties Real Sociedad have shown in turning possession and shots into points at this stage of the season.