
Real Sociedad welcome Sevilla to the Anoeta Stadium on 26 October in what looks to be a matchup full of storylines and contrasting recent rhythms. The hosts sit uncomfortably in 18th place after nine matches, scraping together a single win, three draws and five defeats to leave them with just six points. Their recent fixtures have been patchy: a 1-1 draw away at Celta produced a battling performance highlighted by Sergio Gómez’s 7.6 rating, but losses to the likes of Barcelona and Betis have underlined underlying defensive frailties — eight goals scored and 13 conceded tell a blunt tale.
Sevilla arrive in San Sebastián with more healthy league numbers, occupying ninth with 13 points from four wins, one draw and four defeats. They have been capable of fireworks — a 4-1 triumph over Barcelona and several high-scoring encounters pepper their season — but also vulnerable, most recently falling 1-3 at home to Mallorca. Rubén Vargas was Sevilla’s standout in that loss with a 7.68 rating, a reminder that even in defeat individual performances can shine.
Numbers from both sides point toward goals. Real Sociedad’s fixtures have produced a modest share of high-scoring affairs (over 2.5 goals in 44.44% of games), while Sevilla’s season has been far more prone to goal-heavy encounters — over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of their matches so far. Sevilla have netted 16 and conceded 14 across nine games; Real Sociedad’s 8 for and 13 against show they are porous at the back and can be involved in end-to-end exchanges.
Head-to-head notes add a sprinkle of context: the most recent La Liga meeting between these two in March finished 0-1 to Sevilla. That single-goal away win shows Sevilla can grind results at Anoeta, but it also demonstrates how tight balances can be tipped either way.
Bookmakers currently list Real Sociedad as marginal favourites at 2.02, with the draw at 3.30 and Sevilla at 3.70. Those odds suggest a perceived home edge, yet the underlying team data and seasonal scoring patterns argue this fixture is likely to produce goals rather than a tactical stalemate.
Given the contrast between Real Sociedad’s defensive struggles and Sevilla’s tendency toward open, high-scoring games this season, the clearest edge lies in the goal market. Expect an open encounter where both sides have reasons and recent form to push forward at different stages.
Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals. The high over-2.5 percentage for Sevilla (77.78%) combined with Real Sociedad’s leaky defence and both teams’ recent matches supports a wager on three or more total goals at Anoeta.
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