This Ligue 2 clash at the Stade de Paris in Beauvais promises to be a lively affair as Red Star host Annecy in Round 4 on 29/08/2025. Both teams sit on four points after three league outings, but their profiles could not be more different: Red Star arrive with a statement 4-0 victory on the road in their most recent fixture and show an attacking appetite across the early weeks of the campaign, while Annecy have mixed results but have shown resilience, most recently grinding out a 1-0 win away at Amiens. The oddsmakers give the home side the edge with a 2.00 quote and a 50% implied probability, but the numbers suggest this will be more than a narrow, cagey contest.
Red Star’s recent run includes a big win at Guingamp and a draw at Montpellier, underlining an ability to score in different settings; their season numbers show six goals in three matches and a strong shots profile, with 46 total attempts and 19 on target across the early fixtures. That attacking momentum contrasts with a defense that has conceded four overall, leaving space for high-scoring moments. Annecy arrive with balanced form—one win, one draw and one defeat in the opening set—and have shown they can be compact away, having conceded fewer away goals relative to home. Their attacking output is lower than Red Star’s, but their recent 2-2 draw at home and 1-0 away win show they can both score and keep tight when required. Goalkeeper and match-winner displays have been noted recently: Jovany Ikanga earned plaudits for Red Star in their 4-0 win, while Florian Escales stood out in Annecy’s 1-0 victory.
Statistically this fixture leans toward open play. Red Star’s high-volume attacking metrics—shots inside the box and dangerous attacks—coupled with an over 2.5 goals rate at 66.67% for their matches suggest they create and concede chances in equal measure. Annecy’s figures, while more conservative, include a recent 2-2 home draw and an away victory, indicating they can contribute to the scoreboard. Head-to-head memory from April saw Annecy nick a 1-0 win at the same venue, so Red Star will be eager to respond and the home crowd (Stade de Paris capacity 20,000) can add an edge.
Conclusion and betting suggestion
All signs point to a contest where chances will be carved out at both ends and the route to value lies in the goals market rather than a straight 1X2 gamble. With Red Star’s attacking intent and an overall head-to-head and seasonal profile that has produced multiple goals, the clearest recommendation is to back Over 2.5 goals for this match. This selection aligns with Red Star’s high over-2.5 percentage, their recent 4-0 display, and Annecy’s ability to both score and concede in recent outings. Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals.
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