Prediction Red Star vs Grenoble Foot 38 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 2 on 24/10/2025

Match context and momentum

A crisp autumn evening at the Stade de Paris in Beauvais sets the stage for a clash that looks increasingly tilted toward the hosts. Red Star arrive with the momentum of a side climbing the Ligue 2 table — fourth after ten matches with 20 points — and a recent run that reads like the sort of form every promotion-chasing team dreams of: six wins, two draws and just two defeats in the opening ten fixtures. Their latest away scalp, a 1-0 victory at Laval on 18 October, highlighted a squad that can grind out results on the road as well as at home; Pierre Lemonnier’s star performance earned him the match’s best player rating that day.

Grenoble Foot 38, by contrast, have been erratic and undercooked this season. Sitting 14th with just two wins from ten, Grenoble’s pattern of draws and losses — D-W-D-L-L-W-D-L-D-L — signals a team that struggles to string together confidence. Their most recent outing finished 1-1 at home to Pau, a result that will have done little to reassure travelling fans. Mamadou Diop was Grenoble’s standout performer last time out, but isolated flashes of quality have not been enough to lift the team out of midtable blues.

Tactical snapshot from the numbers

When you dig into the stats the edge belongs to Red Star. They average more total shots per game (12.9 to Grenoble’s 9.6) and produce far more dangerous attacks (49.4 versus 36.1), an indicator of sustained pressure in the final third. Red Star have been more clinical across the season, scoring 16 goals and keeping five clean sheets; Grenoble have 11 goals and only two clean sheets to their name. The head-to-head from earlier this year was a cautious 0-0 between these sides, but context matters — Red Star’s current form and attacking metrics suggest they’re the side most likely to force chances and convert them on Friday.

Bookmakers have priced the fixture accordingly. The match-winner market gives Red Star the clear nod at 1.83, with the draw at 3.55 and Grenoble a long shot at 4.20. Those odds reflect what the form and underlying numbers show: a home side with better attacking output, steadier defensive returns, and the kind of run that breeds confidence.

Betting suggestion

Based on form, attacking profiles and market pricing, the strongest single-market play is the 1X2 selection: Back Red Star to win (Home) at 1.83. The home side’s momentum, superior shot and danger-attack metrics, and Grenoble’s inconsistency make the favourite the most probable outcome. For conservative players, a small to medium stake on Red Star to win is the recommended approach.