Prediction Rennes vs Auxerre 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ligue 1 on 19/10/2025

Match outlook: Rennes at Roazhon Park, ready to press advantage

Rennes welcome Auxerre to Roazhon Park on 19 October in a fixture that feels tilted in favour of the home side. The Bretons sit 10th after seven rounds in the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 campaign and have shown a stubborn defensive baseline at home — just one goal conceded in their home outings so far. That solidity contrasts sharply with Auxerre, who have struggled on the road and occupy 14th place with only six points. Auxerre’s away record to date reads poorly: just one away goal and six conceded. Add to that the match-day details — referee Eric Wattellier in charge and the Rennes supporters packed into a 29,778-capacity Roazhon Park — and the context leans toward a home advantage that’s more than just atmosphere.

Form and recent meetings: Rennes’ draw-heavy rhythm vs Auxerre’s wobble

Rennes arrive with a run of mixed results dominated by draws; their latest five domestic matches include stalemates with Lens and a 2-2 with Le Havre, punctuated by a noteworthy 3-1 victory over Lyon. That pattern suggests a team difficult to break down but not always clinical in front of goal. Meanwhile Auxerre have been inconsistent and fragile, beaten by Lens and PSG and only managing a narrow win over Toulouse. The last time these teams met in Ligue 1 earlier this year Auxerre left Rennes with a 1-0 success, a reminder that while Rennes are favourites on paper, Auxerre can be dangerous on the day.

Statistically, Rennes generate a few more attacking entries — higher averages in shots and dangerous attacks — and have recorded more shots on target overall. Auxerre produce fewer chances and their away output is particularly low. Both teams have managed two clean sheets each this season, but the split between Rennes’ home defensive steadiness and Auxerre’s troubles away from home is stark.

Bookmakers have made their call: Rennes are priced around 1.74 with an implied probability near 57%. The draw sits at 3.70 and an Auxerre victory is a longer shot at 4.45. Those prices reflect the home field edge and Auxerre’s travel troubles.

Betting suggestion

Given the gulf in recent home and away form, the tight defensive record Rennes boast at Roazhon Park and the market’s clear lean, the best single-market play is a straight 1x2 punt on Rennes to win. The home side’s consistency at preventing goals at home and Auxerre’s limited away attacking returns make a Rennes victory the most logical and data-backed outcome for this fixture. Back: Rennes to win (1).