Prediction Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga BetPlay on 13/10/2025

Match context and mood in Rionegro

Rionegro Águilas return to Estadio Alberto Grisales buoyed by a timely victory over Independiente Medellín, a 2-1 result that has injected confidence into a side sitting 12th in the Clausura table. The home team’s recent sequence shows a resilience that can’t be ignored: wins against Deportivo Cali and Llaneros bookend a draw and a loss, and they arrive with momentum that has been built on being hard to break down at times. The venue in Rionegro, with a modest 14,000-capacity and familiar turf, plays into the Águilas’ hands; their home numbers show a team able to create and defend in front of their crowd, translating into clean sheets and decent attacking outputs.

Deportivo Pasto’s struggles and fragility

Deportivo Pasto arrive in decidedly poorer form. Their last five competitive outings reveal more questions than answers: a high-scoring 3-3 draw was sandwiched between a run of heavy defeats and low returns. Sitting 19th in the table with only two wins from 14 matches, Pasto have struggled to find consistency and to keep opponents off the score sheet away from home. The numbers underline the troubling pattern — more losses than wins, fewer goals, and a defense that has conceded regularly. The head-to-head earlier this season in April favoured Pasto with a 1-0 win, but that result looks less relevant given the current trajectories; Rionegro’s recent form and home comfort suggest a different script this time around.

Tactics, trends and what to expect

Both sides show an appetite to attack — total shot metrics are comparable — but Rionegro’s sharper recent results and higher home clean-sheet count offer a subtle defensive edge. There’s also a statistical nudge towards goals being present in games involving Rionegro, yet the overall over/under indicators are moderate rather than extreme, signalling competitive matches rather than goal fests. The bookmakers’ pricing is telling: the home win is the clear favourite, a reflection of form lines, home advantage and recent morale.

Final read and betting suggestion

Given the home side’s positive momentum, the away team’s patchy form, and the market’s confidence in a Rionegro victory, the clearest call is to side with the hosts. Backing Rionegro Águilas in the 1X2 market offers value against a Deportivo Pasto side that has been beaten and drawn more often than it has prevailed this campaign. Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Home win (Rionegro Águilas).