Prediction Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Super Lig on 03/11/2025

Match preview: Rizespor back at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu with home advantage

Rizespor return to the humble roar of the Çaykur Didi Stadyumu on November 3, and the numbers suggest they head into this Super Lig clash as clear favorites. Sitting 12th with ten points from ten games, Rizespor have been patchy but capable of hitting form: five goals in that standout away win at Antalyaspor and a more recent 3-0 victory in the Turkish Cup show they can turn performances into results. The home crowd of just over 15,500 will hope those positive signs carry into the league. Bookmakers have priced the hosts at 1.74, translating to roughly a 57% chance of winning — a reflection of Rizespor’s better recent results and steadier defense at home where they’ve kept three clean sheets already.

Fatih Karagümrük’s struggles and recent signals

Across the pitch, Fatih Karagümrük arrive in alarmingly poor form. Eighteenth in the table with four points from ten matches and only a single league win, their defense has been leaky — 22 goals conceded in ten outings — and their away returns have been particularly dire. Even a spirited 2-2 draw at home to Kayserispor couldn’t paper over cracks: their last away results include heavy defeats and a run of eight losses inside their last ten across competitions. The team did see an individual bright spark in Atakan Çankaya during the draw, rated 8.46, but as a collective they face an uphill task in Rize.

Statistical edge and match shape

Numbers back up the narrative. Rizespor average slightly more shots and dangerous attacks at 79.3 attacks and 34.2 dangerous actions, while Fatih Karagümrük produce more overall attacking entries but have failed to convert defensive solidity — their clean sheet tally is zero. Goal trends point toward a match that could produce goals: both teams have featured in a fair share of over 2.5 matches this season (Rizespor 50% over 2.5, Fatih Karagümrük 60%). Still, Rizespor’s more balanced mix of recent results (three wins, four draws, three losses in the latest ten) contrasts sharply with Fatih’s one win, one draw and eight defeats; momentum and home advantage tilt the contest in favor of the hosts.

Verdict and betting suggestion

Expect Rizespor to press early, use the home support, and look to exploit Fatih Karagümrük’s defensive vulnerabilities. For readers weighing options and learning how to choose markets, these are the tactical and statistical cues that matter — as with broader guidance on soccer betting tips and the choice of markets. If you want to refresh core concepts behind odds and probability before staking, take a look at how the betting odds work in sports betting.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Rizespor to win (bookmaker price 1.74). This selection combines home form, superior recent results, and Fatih Karagümrük’s defensive fragility into the most straightforward value play for this fixture.