Prediction Roda JC Kerkrade vs Almere City 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Eerste Divisie on 20/10/2025

Match context and momentum

Roda JC Kerkrade welcome Almere City to the Parkstad Limburg Stadion on 20 October in what shapes up as a clash between a confident top-four side and a club struggling for consistency. Roda come into this fixture riding high after an emphatic 6-0 demolition of FC Den Bosch on 17 October, a result that not only boosted their goal difference but underlined a team in clear attacking rhythm. That performance crowned a recent run where Roda have taken six wins from eleven league games, putting them fourth in the Eerste Divisie standings with 21 points. The home form numbers reinforce the narrative: 12 goals scored at home across the campaign and four clean sheets show a side capable of imposing itself on familiar turf.

Almere City's recent calendar reads more like a wake-up call. The visitors have managed only three wins from eleven league matches and sit 13th with 11 points. Their last outing produced a 1-1 draw with SC Cambuur on the same weekend Roda delivered fireworks, a sign that Almere’s results have been patchy and their defensive frailties exposed away from home. Statistically, Almere have been involved in high-scoring affairs this season — they’ve conceded ten goals on the road while also contributing eight themselves — and their overall matches frequently clear the over 2.5 goals mark.

Tactical outlook and key indicators

Numbers suggest this could be an open contest. Both teams register a healthy over-2.5 percentage (Roda ~64%, Almere ~73%), and Almere’s matches show a high shots average and offensive intent even when results don’t follow. Roda’s shot and attack averages show a side comfortable creating chances and, crucially, finishing them — the 6-0 scoreline and Michael Breij’s standout performance (best player rating of 10 in the last match) are evidence of clinical finishing when the squad clicks.

Head-to-head is a small cautionary note: the last recorded meeting between these two in 2023 ended 0-2 in favour of Almere City, meaning Roda cannot take this fixture for granted. Yet current form, home advantage at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, and the bookmaker market all tilt the scales toward Roda. The odds reflect that confidence: Roda are the favourites at 2.10, with the draw and Almere priced at 3.70 and 3.10 respectively.

Betting suggestion

For a single-market pick, the data points to a home victory. Back Roda JC Kerkrade to win (1) in the 1X2 market. Roda’s recent attacking surge, superior league position, home scoring record, and the momentum from a 6-0 rout make them the most convincing choice here.