Prediction Rodez vs Boulogne 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 2 on 29/08/2025

Match preview

Rodez returns to Stade Paul Lignon on August 29 looking to convert the promise of territory and shots into a decisive result. The hosts have started the 2025/2026 Ligue 2 campaign with two draws and a defeat, a run that has left them 14th but still very much in touch with mid-table safety. Their most recent outing produced a 1-1 draw with Laval, a match in which Kenny Nagera earned plaudits and a best-player rating of 7.8. Statistically Rodez stands out for its attacking intent: they’ve registered 39 total shots across recent fixtures with 13 on target, and averages that suggest they create more chances than many rivals. Home comfort at the compact Stade Paul Lignon — capacity 5,955 — could amplify that edge.

Boulogne arrive in Rodez under pressure. Two league defeats to open the season have left them propping up the table in 18th, and worryingly they have failed to find the net in those matches. Their latest reverse was a narrow 0-1 loss to Saint-Étienne, where Lilian Raillot was the team’s standout performer despite the result. Boulogne’s attacking output numbers are modest: only 13 total shots in the measured sample and just three on target, which underlines a struggle to convert limited opportunities, especially away from home.

Recent form and key numbers

Rodez’s form line shows a mixture of draws and a solid away victory earlier in August; there is resilience and a tendency to dominate possession and attempts in matches. Boulogne, by contrast, have not yet demonstrated consistent attacking threat, and their road numbers — fewer shots, fewer corners, and no away goals so far — point to a side that will likely adopt a cautious approach in Rodez. Head-to-head history is thin at the professional level, but the most recent recorded meeting saw Rodez triumph 3-1 back in 2019, a reminder that the hosts have enjoyed success against this opponent in the past.

Tactical outlook and implications

Expect Rodez to press and probe, especially from wide areas and set-piece situations where their corners average (around 4.7) could create danger. Boulogne will probably sit deeper, attempt to frustrate, and try to strike on the counter. That game plan makes it difficult for Boulogne to come out with a positive attacking return unless they can significantly improve accuracy and create better-quality chances than the raw shot totals suggest.

Prediction & Betting Tip

Given home advantage, superior chance creation, and Boulogne’s current lack of goals, the most sensible market from the available options is a straight 1X2 selection. The odds reflect Rodez as clear favourites, but the statistical backing is solid: more shots, more shots on target, and a greater attacking footprint at this stage of the season. Backing Rodez to win captures value against a Boulogne side that has struggled to score and is likely to be pressed for long spells.

Betting suggestion: Rodez to win (1X2).