Match snapshot and atmosphere at the Stadio Olimpico
Roma welcome VfB Stuttgart to the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on 22/01/2026 for a key Europa League league-stage clash. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 local time in a venue that can hold 72,698 supporters — and Roma will be counting on that home heat as both clubs arrive level on paper in the group. With both teams on 12 points from six matches and identical win-loss records in the group (four wins, two defeats), this is poised to be a tactical, high-stakes contest where fine margins will matter.
Recent form, momentum and attacking threat
Roma arrive buoyed by a Serie A win over Torino last weekend, a 2-0 scoreline where Paulo Dybala delivered the game's standout performance. That domestic rhythm follows a run with several multi-goal outings: Roma have recorded four of their six recent wins by strong margins and enter this fixture with ten goals scored in the group and five conceded. Their home numbers show potency — more than 15 total shots per game on average and a strong shots-inside-box figure — suggesting they will aim to pin Stuttgart back at Olimpico.
Stuttgart have shown bite across competitions, too. They drew 1-1 with Union Berlin before the international break and have demonstrated attacking firepower in recent Bundesliga fixtures, including a 4-1 away win that underlined their ability to breach defences. Across the Europa League group stage they’ve netted 12 goals and carry an aggressive shooting profile, averaging 18 shots per game and 37 on target overall. Chris Führich was Stuttgart’s top performer in their draw with Union Berlin and will be one to watch for incisive moments.
What the numbers say and how the market views it
Bookmakers make Roma the slight favorite with a home price around 1.91, a probability edge derived from home advantage and their Serie A momentum. The draw market is priced near 3.65 with the away win sitting longer at 3.80. Goal-wise, both sides have produced multi-goal matches this season — Roma registering a 66.7% frequency of games over 2.5 in the sample and Stuttgart at roughly a 50% rate — so the match carries a realistic chance of being open and entertaining.
For readers wanting to refine stakes and timing on goal markets, consider reading about the right time to place bets on goal markets, and if you need a refresher on interpreting these odds, this guide on how the betting odds work in sports betting is useful.
Betting suggestion: Given home advantage, Roma’s recent domestic form led by Paulo Dybala and the bookmakers’ lean, the clean, value play is a 1X2 pick for a Roma win at ~1.91. It balances probability and value better than backing Stuttgart on the road. Stake conservatively and consider combining this with a goals-focused read if you prefer an over/under approach.
