Prediction Roma vs Viktoria Plzeň 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 23/10/2025

Big stage at the Olimpico as Roma host Viktoria Plzeň

Roma return to Stadio Olimpico for a crucial Europa League rendezvous with Viktoria Plzeň on 23/10/2025, and the scene is set for a lively continental night. The Italian side arrive off a narrow 0-1 defeat to Inter in Serie A on 18 October, a result that trimmed some shine from a generally positive domestic run. Roma’s recent ten-match sequence reads as an unpredictable mix — injuries and rotation aside, they remain productive, chalking six wins, one draw and three defeats in that span. At home in European competition this season their group record is even: one win, one loss, two goals for and two conceded. Viktoria Plzeň, by contrast, bring a tidy continental résumé with a clean sheet-heavy start in the group and an unbeaten record so far (one win and a draw). Their domestic form is solid too, fresh from a 1-0 win at Bohemians.

Form lines, stats and what they suggest

Numbers tell a clear story: Roma push more volume — 32 total shots across recent matches compared to Plzeň’s 23 — and their averages for corners and attacks are higher, reflecting control and offensive intent. Shots on target are identical at ten apiece, which indicates Plzeň are compact and efficient when they commit forward. In group terms Plzeň have scored four and conceded just one; Roma are at two scored and two conceded. History offers a quirky note: the last competitive meeting listed dates back to a Champions League group tie in 2018 when Plzeň edged Roma 2-1, a reminder that Czech resilience can cause problems for big names.

Roma’s home advantage at the Olimpico is significant: larger ground, familiar surroundings and a crowd that can swing momentum. Bookmakers mirror that reality heavily — Roma are strongly favored with 1.36 on the match-winner market, while Plzeň trade as long shots at 7.60. That disparity isn’t solely perception; it’s built on Roma’s ability to generate higher volumes of attacking play and the reality that Plzeň have travelled and must cope with the demands of European away rhythm.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Given the weight of the evidence — home advantage, attacking volume, and the bookmakers’ clear confidence — Roma look likely to claim three points. This isn’t a guarantee; Plzeň have the discipline to frustrate and to strike on the counter, but the balance of probability favors the Italians.

Betting suggestion: Back Roma to win (1X2). The home victory is the clearest market selection based on the available data and current odds. Play responsibly.