Rosario Central welcome River Plate to Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña on 06/10/2025 in a fixture that promises a high-tempo atmosphere and meaningful points as the 2nd Phase of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol reaches round 11. The home side sit sixth in the group with nine matches played and a surprising unbeaten record in the group stage, collecting 15 points from three wins and six draws. River Plate arrive in third, slightly further up the table with 18 points from ten games, carrying the weight of expectations tied to a more aggressive attacking statistical profile.
Rosario Central have shown resilience and a knack for grinding results at home. Their recent run includes a convincing 3-0 victory over Gimnasia La Plata on 27 September — a game in which Ángel Di María was highlighted with a standout rating — and a string of draws that speaks to their solidity across matches. Statistically they have conceded only four goals in the group so far and scored nine, demonstrating a compact defensive foundation that has frustrated opponents.
River Plate’s recent form is more volatile. Their schedule has been bumpy with Continental and domestic cup tests, but they come off a 1-0 win against Racing Club in the Copa Argentina on 2 October, where Franco Armani’s experience in goal was a key factor. Across the campaign River have accumulated 17 goals while conceding nine, and their attacking metrics are eye-catching: higher total shots, more shots on target and a greater average of attacks and dangerous attacks compared to Rosario Central. The two clubs met earlier in the season in a 2-2 draw, a reminder that this fixture often produces open moments and shared attacking intent.
Rosario Central will lean on their home rhythm and defensive organization to stifle River’s more voluminous approach. Their home BTTS percentage is strong, indicating that when Central host matches they frequently see goals at both ends — an intriguing counterpoint to their tidy goals-conceded tally. River’s greater attacking output suggests they will probe and push for openings, but their recent inconsistency means they are not guaranteed to convert that superiority into a comfortable scoreline.
Given the narrow margins in bookmaker pricing — the market shows River as slight favorites but the draw is not far behind — this promises to be a competitive clash where small tactical edges and set-piece moments could decide the outcome.
Betting suggestion Back River Plate to win (Away) in the 1X2 market. River’s superior attacking numbers and overall goals scored give them the edge to overcome Rosario Central’s compact home shape, and the bookmaker probability aligns with River as the most likely winner.
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