Prediction Rwanda vs Benin 2026 season – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025

Match preview: Rwanda hosts Benin in Group Stage tussle

Rwanda and Benin meet on 10/10/2025 in what promises to be a telling Group Stage encounter in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers. On paper this is a classic clash between a home side that have been hard to break down and an away team carrying more offensive momentum. Rwanda sit fourth in the group with 11 points from eight matches, while Benin occupy second with 14 points — a gap that makes this game significant for both sides’ qualification hopes. The fixture arrives with both teams showing very different recent rhythms; Rwanda have been inconsistent but capable of grinding out results, while Benin arrive with sharper attacking numbers and two emphatic wins in their most recent outings.

Team form and statistical edge

Rwanda’s group record shows a modest attack with five goals scored and five conceded across eight matches. Their latest run reads like a mixed bag — wins, draws and losses interwoven — but the Rwandan side have proven they can win on the road too, as seen in their recent 1-0 victory away to Zimbabwe where Gilbert Mugisha earned the best player nod. Statistically Rwanda boast a strong home clean sheet count, and their home goals scored remain low, suggesting a pragmatic, defence-first approach.

Benin, meanwhile, bring a more offensive profile to the table. With 11 goals in the group and an overall higher shots and dangerous-attack average, Benin look more willing to push forward. Their recent 4-0 demolition of Lesotho underlines that firepower, and Steve Mounié’s standout performance in that win is a marker of the quality they can produce. Benin’s form shows more wins and fewer losses than Rwanda’s and an attacking conversion rate that has been effective in recent matches.

Head-to-head and momentum

The two sides last met in October 2024 with Rwanda edging a 2-1 victory, a reminder that history can be tight between these teams. However, head-to-head alone doesn’t capture the current trajectories: Benin’s recent results indicate a team in better goal-scoring fettle, while Rwanda’s profile suggests a side that will look to control tempo and make the most of set-piece or counter opportunities. Clean sheets on both sides hint at a tactical chess match rather than a free-scoring affair, but Benin’s recent offensive burst gives them a clear momentum advantage.

Prediction and Betting Suggestion

Expect an away team that is confident going forward against a home team that will aim to frustrate and counter. Given Benin’s superior goal output in the group, recent convincing wins and overall attacking metrics, the sensible call for a single-market pick is a 1X2 selection backing Benin to win. This choice leans on Benin’s recent form, their higher shots and dangerous-attack averages, and the fact they arrive with clear scoring rhythm while Rwanda’s goalscoring has been limited despite home resilience.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 — Benin to win.