Prediction Salzburg vs Ferencvárosi 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 23/10/2025

Match context: a pivotal Group Stage clash in Wals-Siezenheim

Salzburg return to the Red Bull Arena on 23 October under pressure. Two group matches, zero points and no goals scored in the Europa League so far paint a worrying picture for the Austrian side despite a season of mixed domestic results. Their last outing ended 2-2 at home against Rheindorf Altach, a match in which Kerim Alajbegovic stood out with the best player rating, but Salzburg's continental campaign has been blunt — two losses, three goals conceded and not a single strike to show for their Group Stage work.

Ferencvárosi arrive at Salzburg with momentum and optimism. Sitting on four points from two matches, the Hungarians have already shown they can grind results in Europe: a win at Genk and a draw with Viktoria Plzeň earlier in the campaign underline their efficiency. Recent league form also points to stability; Ferencvárosi have lost just once in ten of their last fixtures and produced a 1-1 draw away to Újpest in their most recent domestic outing. Barnabás Varga was Ferencvárosi’s standout performer in that game.

Bookmakers make Salzburg favourites at 1.94, with the draw and away win trading longer. That pricing reflects Salzburg’s perceived quality at home and the advantage of playing in a 25,000-capacity Red Bull Arena on Stadionstraße. But the numbers behind the scenes complicate a simple back-the-home argument.

Tactical keys and statistical undercurrent

Salzburg are generating chances — their recent match data shows a high volume of shots and attacking intent. Home statistics list 26 total shots with nine on target across recent fixtures, an attacking blueprint that should trouble most defenses. Yet this attacking output hasn't translated into goals in the European group, creating a narrative of underperformance in the decisive moments.

Ferencvárosi are compact and efficient. Their shot figures are lower but productive: 18 total shots and seven on target in recent games, and crucially they’ve managed to keep clean sheets on the road in continental competition. Their dangerous attacks average is higher (37) than Salzburg’s reported 27.5, suggesting that while Salzburg flood the box numerically, Ferencvárosi’s critical chances may carry greater potency.

Both teams have recent draws in domestic action, which hints at cautious approaches when balance is required. Historically, the two met in a friendly with Salzburg winning 2-1, but friendly form rarely dictates Group Stage realities. Given Salzburg’s inability to find the net in the Europa League so far and Ferencvárosi’s defensive discipline, the fixture looks primed for a tight encounter rather than a goal-fest.

Betting suggestion: Back the goal market — Under 2.5 goals. The group-stage scoring trends, both teams’ recent low-scoring results and the data showing minimal over-2.5 occurrences point to a match that could be decided by a single moment rather than an open shootout