Big favorites at Stadyum Samsun as cup drama approaches
Samsunspor welcome Bodrum FK to Stadyum Samsun on 03/02/2026 in a Turkish Cup Group Stage clash that feels tilted from the outset. The home side sit comfortably at the top of their group with two wins from two, eight goals scored and only three conceded, while Bodrum arrive rooted near the bottom with two defeats from two and just three goals to show in the group. The numbers and recent results paint a clear picture: Samsunspor are the side with momentum and home advantage, and the bookmakers reflect that confidence with a 1.41 quote for the home win, implying roughly a 71% chance of victory.
Samsunspor’s recent form has been mixed in the wider season but decisive in the Cup context; their last outing produced a 1-0 league victory over Kasımpaşa with Jaurès Assoumou singled out as the best performer that day. Samsunspor’s attacking output in the cup is eye-catching — six of their eight group goals came away from home — and their home stats underline an aggressive approach at Stadyum Samsun, where they average nearly 110 attacks and almost five corners per game. That intent should trouble a Bodrum side that has shown defensive lapses in cup fixtures, conceding five in two group matches.
Bodrum FK’s fightback credentials and recent form
Bodrum FK are not dead in the water. They arrive off a morale-boosting 3-0 win over Serik Belediyespor and boast recent away clean sheets in other matches across the season, but their cup record shows vulnerability: two losses from two in the group and only three goals scored overall. Their recent fixtures have seen highs and lows — a couple of solid victories mixed with defeats to top-flight sides — and Ismail Tarim was the standout performer in their last match. Statistically, Bodrum’s matches trend toward goals — their over 2.5 percentage is high in the data provided — yet their defensive numbers away from home give Samsunspor a clear path to control.
The solitary head-to-head listed from April 2025 ended 2-1 in Samsunspor’s favor on Bodrum soil, a small but relevant reminder that Samsunspor have previously solved this opponent. The venue at Stadyum Samsun, with a capacity of 33,919, should amplify the home team’s attacking rhythm and crowd-driven intensity.
Prediction and betting suggestion
Given the balance of form, group standings and market pricing, the clearest value sits with the 1X2 market. Samsunspor are a strong favorite at 1.41 and the underlying home statistics — dominance in attacks and a strong group goals tally — support a home win as the primary outcome. For readers wanting to refine their approach to markets, the piece on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets is a useful companion, and if you want to keep your head when stakes are high, consider reading How to have emotional control when placing bets?.
Betting suggestion: Back Samsunspor to win (1X2 market) at the quoted 1.41. The value comes from home form, group superiority and Samsunspor’s ability to manufacture chances — a sensible single-market play for this fixture.
