Prediction Sassuolo vs Roma 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Serie A on 26/10/2025

Match context and stakes

This Saturday’s meeting at the MAPEI Stadium in Reggio Emilia pits a mid-table Sassuolo side against a Roma team that has been much more consistent so far in the 2025/2026 Serie A campaign. With the referee Gianluca Manganiello in charge, the fixture arrives in Round 8 and promises a tactical scrap: Sassuolo sit ninth with 10 points from seven games, while Roma occupy fourth with 15 points. The home crowd of just over 21,500 will expect their team to be proactive, but the numbers suggest this is a clash where Roma arrive as clear favourites on form and underlying metrics.

Form, recent results and match rhythm

Sassuolo come off a goalless draw at Lecce and have produced an uneven run — wins sprinkled with defeats and a tendency toward mixed scorelines. Their recent seven matches show three wins, one draw and three losses, and they have scored eight and conceded eight in Serie A so far. Roma’s recent rhythm is more relentless: five wins from seven with six wins in their last ten and a defensive record that stands out — just three goals conceded in the league. Roma’s week wasn’t perfect; they fell to Viktoria Plzeň 1-2 in Europa League action and were beaten by Inter in Serie A, which could introduce a slight fatigue factor. Notably, Paulo Dybala produced the match-high rating in that European tie, underlining the creative threat Roma still possess.

Tactical battle — where the match will be won

The contrast in attacking metrics is stark and telling. Roma’s attack volume and efficiency outstrip Sassuolo’s: significantly more total shots, shots on target and a far higher average of dangerous attacks and corners per game. Roma also boast more clean sheets, evidence of a compact defensive setup capable of grinding out results away from home. Sassuolo can be dangerous in transitional moments, but their defensive stock has been breached regularly this season and their home attacking returns are not overwhelming. Expect Roma to control territory and create the better chances, while Sassuolo will seek to frustrate and hit on the break.

Betting suggestion (1X2): Back Roma to win (Away) at 1.84

Given the data — Roma’s superior shot and danger metrics, stronger defensive record, higher league points and the bookmaker probability favouring the away side — the most sensible single-market pick is a Roma victory in the 1X2 market. The midweek European defeat adds a sliver of risk in terms of freshness, but it does little to erase Roma’s statistical edge. This is a measured away-bet: expect a tight affair, with Roma likely to edge it.