Prediction SC Cambuur vs Willem II 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Eerste Divisie on 06/09/2025

Match context and momentum

Kooi Stadion will host a standout Eerste Divisie clash on 06/09/2025 as SC Cambuur welcome Willem II in Round 6. The context is clear: Cambuur sit high in the table with nine points from four matches and have built genuine momentum after a string of positive results. Willem II arrive in mixed form — capable of strong showings, as their wins against Jong FC Utrecht and Almere City prove, but also vulnerable given recent heavy defeats and a leaky defensive ledger. The referee for the evening will be Bas Nijhuis, adding an experienced voice to an encounter that could be decided by fine margins.

How the numbers shape the story

The statistical profile here tilts in favour of the home side. Cambuur produce more volume in attack, averaging 109.25 attacks and 50.25 dangerous attacks per game, with 42 total shots across their fixtures and 13 efforts on target — figures that underline consistent offensive intent. They have translated that work into results: three wins and just one loss in the league to date, while keeping two clean sheets. Willem II, by contrast, generate fewer overall attacks (89.75) and while they have matched Cambuur’s shots on target count at 13, their conversion into results has been patchier; four goals scored across the same span and seven conceded demonstrates defensive fragility, especially away from home where their concessions have been more pronounced.

The last meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw, a sign that tight, competitive affairs are possible. Recent match reports highlight impact performances on either side: Mark Diemers was the standout for Cambuur in their latest win, while Nick Doodeman earned plaudits after Willem II’s most recent victory. Those individual sparks could matter, but the broader shape of the teams suggests Cambuur control more phases of play and create the clearer patterns going forward.

Tactical implications and likely narrative

Expect Cambuur to press the advantage of superior attacking volume and a better defensive record, attempting to force the issue on their home turf. Willem II, with flashes of potency, will likely have to take calculated risks to unsettle the home structure, which could leave gaps for Cambuur to exploit on the break or from sustained pressure. Given the data — shots, dangerous attacks, recent form and home advantage — the narrative points to a home side that can impose themselves and secure a positive result.

Betting suggestion

Based on form, attacking metrics and the bookmaker prices on offer, the clearest market to support is the 1X2: back SC Cambuur to win. The market price of 1.85 (implied probability ~54%) reflects their momentum, superior attacking volume and steadier defensive numbers. This is the most data-aligned single wager here, though punters should always stake responsibly and consider smaller, managed stakes given football’s unpredictability.