Prediction SC Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 13/09/2025

Match preview: Europa-Park Stadion set for a cracking clash

The Bundesliga returns to Freiburg on 13/09/2025 and the mood inside the Europa-Park Stadion will be tense. SC Freiburg arrive propping up the table after two league defeats and just two goals to show for their opening fixtures, while VfB Stuttgart sit more comfortably in eighth with three points and a far steadier defensive ledger. Daniel Siebert will take charge of what looks set to be a lively encounter in the Black Forest, and the numbers point toward a contest where the visiting side carry the edge.

Form and recent meetings: momentum favors the visitors

Freiburg’s recent domestic run has been worrying: a heavy 4-1 reverse at Köln in their most recent Bundesliga outing followed two earlier league setbacks that leave Christian Streich’s side searching for answers. Their early-season scoreboard reads no wins, no draws and two losses, with seven goals conceded in those fixtures — defensive frailties the hosts must remedy quickly. Stuttgart, meanwhile, arrive with a confidence-boosting 1-0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach and a dramatic cup win on penalties against Eintracht Braunschweig in the buildup. The head-to-head memory will also sting Freiburg; earlier this year Stuttgart overwhelmed them 4-0, a reminder of how one-sided this fixture can become.

Statistical edge and themes to watch

From a statistical standpoint Stuttgart bring more punch and control. They generate more shots (34 to Freiburg’s 28) and significantly more attempts on target — 11 to Freiburg’s six — which underlines the visitors’ greater threat in and around the box. Stuttgart also average more corners and slightly higher attacking and dangerous-attack metrics, suggesting sustained pressure is likelier to come from them. Freiburg’s home numbers are not reassuring: they have yet to keep a clean sheet at home in the early season and have conceded three on their own turf. Both sides have shown the capacity to score, but the balance of chances and recent defensive records lean in favor of VfB Stuttgart extending their positive run.

Prediction and betting tip

With form, recent results and in-game metrics all nudging toward an away advantage, the clearest play here is the 1X2 market. The bookmakers mirror that sentiment; Stuttgart are the more likely winners according to current pricing. Backing VfB Stuttgart to win is the recommended bet — a value-backed away victory in a match where their efficiency in creating and converting chances should outweigh Freiburg’s early-season struggles. Suggested bet: VfB Stuttgart to win (1X2).