Prediction Senegal vs Mauritania 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025

Match context: Senegal emphatic, Mauritania stubborn but limited

Senegal arrive at this Group Stage showdown riding the crest of an imposing run. The numbers speak loudly: top of the group with 21 points from nine matches, 18 goals scored and just three conceded. Their most recent outing produced a 5-0 demolition of South Sudan, a result that underlines how potent they can be when in full flow. Across their reported fixtures Senegal have shown remarkable consistency — a blend of attacking output and defensive resilience that has yielded seven clean sheets in competition play. Mauritania, conversely, occupy fifth place with seven points, their campaign marked by four draws and only a solitary win from nine matches. While Mauritania have demonstrated a capacity for digging in and securing shutouts — four clean sheets on record — their goal return is modest and they have shipped nine goals overall. The recent 0-0 stalemate away to Sudan reinforces their capacity to frustrate, but it also highlights limitations in breaking down disciplined defenses.

Key numbers and recent form that matter

Senegal’s attacking statistics are eye-catching: 99 total shots and 46 on target across matches recorded, an average of 11 total shots per game and a shots-on-target haul that has translated into 18 goals. Their conversion rate and ability to create chances inside the opponent’s box make them heavy favourites on paper. Mauritania have not been shy in attack either — 80 total shots and 28 on target — but the end product has been scarce with only four goals scored. Head-to-head history adds further colour: the most recent meeting ended 0-1 in favour of Senegal, suggesting a pattern of Senegalese control even when margins are tight. Form lines also tilt toward the hosts; Senegal’s recent sequence includes dominant wins and never looks outmatched in the group table, whereas Mauritania’s string of draws and low-scoring contests point to a side that can be difficult to beat but also unlikely to outscore elite opposition.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Expect Senegal to impose themselves from the outset. Their mix of attacking threat and a sturdy defensive record should grant them the initiative and create the clearer chances across 90 minutes. Mauritania will aim to stay compact and frustrate, but history and the season-long statistics favour a Senegal victory. For punters focused on a straightforward market, the clearest option is a 1X2 pick: back Senegal to win. The data — dominant group position, superior goal difference, recent 5-0 result, multiple clean sheets and favourable head-to-head — all point to a home victory as the most probable outcome. Betting suggestion: Senegal to win (1X2).