Prediction Senegal vs Sudan 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025

Match context

Senegal and Sudan meet in a Group Stage clash of the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025, and the recent ledger between these sides suggests a low-scoring, tightly contested affair. Their most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw that went to penalties, with Senegal coming out on top; that result encapsulates the narrative heading into this fixture — competitive, cagey, and often decided on fine margins. Senegal arrive buoyed by an attacking output that stands out in the raw numbers: 74 total shots across recent outings and a striking 30 shots on target, reflecting a team that presses and creates opportunities. They have registered seven goals at home in the sample available and boast five clean sheets, underlining a balanced profile capable of both controlling games and shutting opponents down.

Sudan’s profile is defined by resilience and consistency. Their recent form is littered with draws — seven in the latest ten — and a conservative approach that prioritizes structure over free-scoring ambition. Sudan have been effective at keeping matches tight, with four clean sheets and lower but still respectable attacking returns: 48 total shots and 25 on target. The narrative in their recent matches shows a side that can frustrate stronger opponents; in the 1-1 encounter that led to penalties they pushed Senegal all the way, and Mohamed Saeed Ahmed earned recognition as a standout performer. For Senegal, Libasse Guèye was the best-rated player in that same contest, signaling that decisive individual contributions can tilt the scale.

Tactical expectation

Expect Senegal to take the initiative. Their higher averages in total and dangerous attacks suggest they will look to pin Sudan back and force openings. Yet Sudan’s tendency to produce draws and protect their goal means those openings may not translate into a flurry of goals. The broader statistical picture points toward matches between these two tending toward modest scorelines: several recent results have been 0-0, 1-1, or decided on penalties, and the sample shows a relatively low incidence of high-scoring outcomes.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Given the data at hand — Senegal’s superior shot volume and creative pressure matched against Sudan’s proclivity for draws, clean sheets and narrow scorelines — the optimal betting angle leans to a goals market rather than an outright result. The clearest and most data-aligned play is Under 2.5 goals. The recent matches between these teams, the low over-2.5 percentage shown in the available sample, and the frequency of 0-0 and 1-1 scorelines all point to a tight game with limited scoring. Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals.