The Stadion Rajko Mitić will buzz on 09/09/2025 when Serbia host England in a pivotal World Cup qualifying clash. England arrive as group leaders, four games played and four wins, an impeccable defensive record of zero goals conceded and eight scored; Serbia sit just behind with seven points from three games and the same clean-sheet streak. The numbers set up a fascinating duel: a confident England side brimming with attacking threat against a Serbia team that has proven hard to break down at home. Recent meetings give England a psychological edge after a 1-0 win in the European Championship group stage last year, but Serbia’s run of three clean sheets in qualifying signals this will not be straightforward.
England’s formline is impressive — eight wins in their last ten fixtures and a shot profile that paints them as the more dangerous side. Seventy total shots with 31 on target and an average of 148.5 attacks per match underline their capacity to dominate possession and create chances. Serbia, meanwhile, have been efficient and disciplined: 48 total shots, 16 on target, and a home record that includes a 1-0 victory over Latvia in their most recent outing. Both teams come into the fixture off clean-sheet results, and that defensive solidity on both sides suggests a tactical chess match rather than an end-to-end spectacle.
Expect England to press for territorial control and attempt to leverage their superior chance creation. Their numbers in dangerous attacks (98.5) versus Serbia’s (56.33) indicate a clear advantage in producing situations that lead to goals. Serbia, aware of England’s potency, are likely to set up compactly and use the home crowd and the familiarity of the Rajko Mitić pitch to frustrate the visitors. Key individual performances could swing the game: Serbia’s Strahinja Pavlović was the standout in their last win, while Reece James picked up the best rating for England in their recent victory — both players could be decisive in transitional moments and set-piece scenarios.
This one feels like a finely balanced affair. England are the favorites on form and in attack metrics, but Serbia’s unbeaten run at home and clean defensive record in qualifying suggest goals will be hard to come by. Historical context and the latest head-to-head add a layer of caution for punters who might expect a high-scoring rout.
Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals — the data points to a tight, low-scoring encounter where defensive organisation and narrow margins will decide the day.
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