Prediction Shrewsbury Town vs Newport County 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for League Two on 15/11/2025

Form, context and what the numbers say

Shrewsbury Town welcome Newport County to Montgomery Waters Meadow on 15 November in what looks set to be a gritty, low-key battle at the foot of League Two. The home side sit 23rd with 13 points from 15 matches and have taken just three league wins so far; Newport are one place below them in 24th on 11 points. Recent results read painfully similar: Shrewsbury arrive after an EFL Trophy defeat at Northampton Town (2-1) where Josh Ruffels earned the match rating plaudit, while Newport suffered a narrow 1-0 reversal to Exeter City in the same cup, with Nik Tzanev the standout on a losing night.

Statistically the picture favours a tight, scrappy encounter. Shrewsbury have managed only 13 goals across the season and average 11.2 shots per game, but five clean sheets hint at a side capable of grinding out results at home. Newport have been marginally more adventurous in attack with 16 goals and 10 away goals, yet they also display defensive fragility, conceding 27 in total. Both teams’ over/under profile points to matches hovering around two goals — over 2.5 has been hit in slightly more than half their fixtures — while the head-to-head history is thin and dated, so recent form and current league standing will carry most weight here.

Momentum, venue and referee notes

Montgomery Waters Meadow, with its sub-10,000 capacity, gives Shrewsbury a modest but tangible home advantage; that edge is reflected in bookmaker pricing where the hosts are installed as favourites at roughly 1.88, a probability that implies they are the likelier winners. Newport’s patchy run — three wins and ten losses in the league — leaves them vulnerable on the road against a side that desperately needs points and has shown it can keep clean sheets when organised.

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Betting suggestion Shrewsbury Town to win (1) at 1.88. The home side’s slightly better defensive record, the Meadow advantage and bookmakers’ pricing all point toward a home victory as the most consistent value in the 1X2 market. Stake cautiously given both teams’ struggles for goals, and treat this as a selective play rather than a free-for-all.