Prediction Sigma Olomouc vs Malmö FF 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Europa League on 28/08/2025

Match preview: Europa League play-off drama in Olomouc

Come Thursday evening at Andrův stadion, Sigma Olomouc welcome Malmö FF in what promises to be a tense Europa League play-off clash. The short turnaround from last weekend’s domestic fixtures gives both teams little margin for error: Sigma were beaten 1-0 by Hradec Králové on August 24, while Malmö were held to a goalless draw by IFK Göteborg the same day. The proximity of those results only adds spice — both sides will be desperate for momentum ahead of this second meeting in the space of a week.

How form and recent meetings shape the game

On paper and in the recent head-to-head, Malmö hold the psychological edge. Their 3-0 win over Sigma on August 21 was emphatic: a 2-0 half-time cushion converted into a comfortable full-time victory. That result underlines Malmö’s capacity to break down Sigma’s rearguard and to do so with efficiency; their match stats across recent games show higher output — 12 total shots and four on target in the comparative sample, alongside nine corners on average, versus Sigma’s leaner attacking numbers.

Sigma Olomouc arrive with a mixed pattern of results — their last five domestic matches show wins and losses intertwined — and their form string reads L-L-W-L-W-D-W-D-L-W across the latest reports. That inconsistency is worrying for a home side who will need to find rhythm quickly if they’re to overturn Malmö’s recent dominance.

Malmö’s recent run is more convincing: D-W-W-L-L-D-W-W-W-W in the latest ten, translating to six wins and two draws in that span. They’ve demonstrated the ability to score freely — recall the 4-0 away in Halmstad — and to recover after heavy defeats, which speaks to squad resilience even when this preview must avoid speculation on individual absences or returns.

Bookmakers have priced this as an extremely tight affair: Sigma are 2.50, the draw 3.30, and Malmö 2.55. Probabilities sit almost neck-and-neck, with a slight nod to the home upset on paper, but the on-field evidence favors the visitors.

Betting suggestion

Given Malmö’s decisive 3-0 win in the recent meeting, their superior attacking metrics (shots, shots on target, corners) and steadier form, the most sensible market here is the 1X2. Back Malmö FF to win at odds of 2.55. This is a value play based on recent head-to-head dominance and the away side’s sharper offensive profile; stake responsibly and consider the tight margins implied by the market.