Match context and form guide
Sint-Truiden arrive at Stayen Stadion full of momentum. Sitting second in the Pro League table with 48 points from 24 matches, they have built a formidable record of 15 wins, 3 draws and just 6 defeats. Recent results underline that confidence: a convincing 4-0 win at Westerlo followed a string of wins against La Louvière, OH Leuven and Standard Liège earlier in the campaign. Their formline reads like a team threatening the top — eight wins in their last ten competitive outings — and the numbers back up an attack that has found the net 37 times while keeping seven clean sheets at home this season. The home crowd of around 14,600 at Stayen will expect an aggressive, front-foot display.
Zulte-Waregem, by contrast, travel in troubled waters. Occupying 11th spot with 29 points, they have struggled for consistency: seven wins, eight draws and nine losses across 24 matches. Their recent run is patchy — only two wins and two draws in the last ten fixtures — and although they did grind out a 1-0 victory over Dender in their last outing, their defensive record away from home (conceded 21 goals) suggests vulnerability against stronger attacking sides. The last head-to-head meeting in August ended 0-2 in favour of Sint-Truiden, a reminder of the host’s ability to control this matchup.
Tactical matchup and key stats
On paper, Sint-Truiden’s attacking metrics are superior: more total shots (348 vs 281), higher shots inside the box (230 vs 176) and a stronger average of dangerous attacks (51.71 vs 45.79). Those edges translate into home scoring (17 goals at home) and a tendency to force opportunities. Zulte-Waregem can be dangerous on their day — their recent 4-3 loss to Club Brugge showed attacking potential — but they have struggled to put together sustained defensive resilience on the road. The market reflects this gap: bookmakers price Sint-Truiden at 1.73 (about a 57.8% implied chance), while the draw and away win are longer odds.
If you want to sharpen your approach beyond this preview, consult trusted strategy pages such as Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets for guidance on market selection, and read about How the betting odds work in sports betting to understand implied probabilities before staking.
Betting suggestion
Given Sint-Truiden’s red-hot home form, superior attacking numbers and the price on offer, the clearest value is the 1X2 market: back Sint-Truiden to win at 1.73. This selection aligns with the home team’s consistent results, their recent 4-0 statement victory and the head-to-head edge shown earlier in the season. For those who prefer goal-related strategies, the game could produce chances, but the safest single-market play from the available data is a home win.
