Prediction Slaven Koprivnica vs Vukovar 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the 1. HNL on 21/11/2025

Match preview — Koprivnica hosts Vukovar in a clash with momentum on the line

Slaven Koprivnica return to Gradski Stadion on November 21 with form that has quietly gathered steam. Sitting fifth in the 1. HNL, Slaven have compiled a run that reads better than their mid-table position suggests: five wins, three draws and two defeats in their last ten competitive outings. Their recent league results include a convincing 3-1 victory at Varaždin and a 3-0 triumph away at Bijelo Brdo, while draws against Rijeka and Lokomotiva underline a side that is hard to beat at home. With a capacity crowd of just over 3,200 expected in Koprivnica, the home advantage is tangible — and the market concurs, pricing a Slaven victory at 1.67 with an implied probability near 60%.

Form and numbers that matter

Vukovar arrive in less enviable shape. Ninth in the table with only two wins from 13 matches, their defensive fragility is evident: 21 goals conceded and just 12 scored overall. Recent draws with Gorica and Istra 1961 show a stubborn streak, and the 1-0 home upset of Dinamo Zagreb proves they can spring surprises. Still, their away scoring record is thin — only three goals on the road so far — and their numbers for conceding away (12) suggest vulnerability when forced to chase games.

Head-to-head history gives Slaven a psychological edge: the teams met in late August with Slaven taking a 2-1 win in Vukovar. That result, combined with Slaven’s higher over-2.5 frequency (69% of matches) and more consistent attacking output (17 goals in 13 fixtures), points to a home side that can both control the tempo and threaten in numbers. Vukovar’s tendency to draw (five draws overall) could make this one tight early on, but the balance of form, home advantage and season-long metrics tilts toward the hosts.

Prediction and betting insight

Bookmakers have reacted to those signals by making Slaven Koprivnica clear favorites. For punters seeking a straightforward play, the 1X2 market offers the cleanest value: Slaven to win at 1.67 is backed by the side’s recent form, stronger attacking numbers at home, and a prior away victory over Vukovar earlier this campaign. If you prefer to refine timing and targets in goal markets, consider reading about The right time to place bets on goal markets to find the best entry points. And if you’re managing stakes and temperament around short-priced favourites, the guide on How to have emotional control when placing bets? is a useful companion.

Betting suggestion: Back Slaven Koprivnica to win (1X2 market) at 1.67. This selection aligns with form, head-to-head, home scoring trends and the bookmakers’ probability model.