Prediction Somalia vs Algeria 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025

The Group Stage clash on October 9 pits a beleaguered Somalia side against group leaders Algeria at Stade Mustapha Tchaker in Blida. On paper this is a one-sided encounter: Somalia sit rock bottom with a single point from eight games, while Algeria top the pool with 19 points and a ruthless attacking record. The contrast in form and numbers is stark and sets the tone for what should be an exciting but predictable evening for the home crowd in Algeria.

Somalia come into the fixture having failed to register a victory in this campaign. Their recent string of results reads as a familiar refrain of frustration — wins absent, draws scarce, and defeats dominant. Across eight group matches they have managed only three goals while shipping sixteen, and their recent ten-match sequence contains eight losses. Their last outing, a 2-0 reverse to Uganda, underscored persistent defensive frailties even as individuals like Mukhtar Suleiman provided some bright moments in otherwise grim team displays.

Tactical outlook and key numbers

Algeria’s campaign tells a far more confident story. Six wins, a single loss, and an abundance of goals (19 in the group) reflect a side that controls games and converts chances. Their latest run of form is unbeaten in the last ten recorded results, registering five wins and five draws — a sign of consistency and resilience. The team’s attacking averages and shot metrics show an aggressive approach: a high volume of total shots and shots on target, coupled with a very healthy conversion rate, point to a side that not only creates but finishes.

Head-to-head history also favours Algeria. The most recent meeting ended 3-1 in Algeria’s favour, with a two-goal cushion at half-time that day. On these grounds, Somalia’s defensive record and lack of goal threat are worrying against an Algerian outfit that has shown it can both score freely and control matches.

While the venue is in Algeria, which naturally enhances the hosts’ advantage, the numbers alone — goals scored and conceded, points on the board, and recent form — make a compelling case that this will be a comfortable night for the nominal away team.

Betting suggestion

Given the gulf in class, form and offensive output, the clearest single-market play is the 1X2 market: back Algeria to win. Expect a decisive result in favour of Algeria, with a likely scoreline leaning towards a multi-goal victory for the visitors turned home team. This selection aligns with Algeria’s dominant group performance and Somalia’s prolonged struggles and should be the primary bet for this fixture.