Prediction South Sudan vs Senegal 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025

Senegal overwhelming favorites as South Sudan fight for respect

The stage is set for a stark contrast in ambitions when South Sudan host Senegal in the 2026 CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025. The gulf between the two teams is evident on paper and in recent form: South Sudan sit rooted to the bottom of their group without a win from eight matches, while Senegal top the table unbeaten. For South Sudan this is another opportunity to salvage pride in a campaign that has produced four draws but no victories; for Senegal it reads as a routine step toward sealing qualification with discipline and clinical finishing.

Form, facts and worrying numbers for the hosts

South Sudan’s results reveal a team that struggles to turn chances into goals. With only three goals scored across eight group matches and 14 conceded, their defensive frailties and blunt attack are exposed. Recent results underline inconsistency — draws against Mauritania and Sudan have been punctuated by heavy defeats to Congo DR and South Africa. Shot and chance metrics tell a similar story: modest shot volume, single-figure average corners and a low rate of over 2.5 matches. On their day they can be stubborn, evidenced by two clean sheets, but those moments have been infrequent in a campaign dominated by losses.

Senegal: compact, efficient and difficult to break down

Senegal’s profile is almost the opposite — a side that combines attacking threat with defensive solidity. Thirteen goals scored and three conceded across eight matches, six clean sheets and a high volume of shots and dangerous attacks underscore their dominance. Recent victories, including a tight 3-2 win over Congo DR and comfortable results away from home, show a team that can both grind out results and find the net when needed. Their unbeaten record in the group and superior attacking and defensive metrics make them the clear pre-match favorite.

How the head-to-head and previous meetings influence the outlook

A previous group meeting saw Senegal run out 4-0 winners, a result that lingers in the background and reinforces the expectation that Senegal will control the tempo. South Sudan will hope home conditions can tighten the margins, but statistics and momentum point strongly toward an away victory. Senegal’s ability to limit their opponents’ scoring, combined with a consistent shot volume and clinical finishing, creates a scenario where the visitors are likely to secure three points without being under sustained threat.

Betting suggestion: Back Senegal to win in the 1X2 market. The bookmakers’ market paints a similar picture with Senegal listed as overwhelming favorites, and the statistical profile — superior goals for, fewer goals conceded, more clean sheets and higher attacking output — supports an away victory as the most probable outcome.