Prediction South Sudan vs Togo 2026 season – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025

Match overview and recent form

South Sudan returns to Group Stage action under the weight of a difficult campaign. With nine games played, they remain pointless in terms of wins, collecting four draws and five defeats while scoring only three goals and conceding 19. Their most recent outing produced a harsh 0-5 home defeat to Senegal on 10 October, a result that underlined defensive fragility and left Ajak Riak as the side’s best-rated performer in that game with a 6.46. The statistical picture for the hosts is bleak: low goals scored, heavy goals conceded, and just two clean sheets across the campaign underline a side that has struggled to turn possession and attacks into consistent results.

Togo arrive as the clear favorites on paper. Occupying fourth in the group with seven points, they have shown greater balance than South Sudan and possess the attacking metrics to trouble their opponents. Their last match ended in a narrow 0-1 loss to Congo DR on the same weekend, but Mawouna Amevor stood out with a 6.5 rating in that fixture. Across the qualifying campaign Togo have produced more shots, more dangerous attacks and a higher corner count, signaling an ability to press and create meaningful chances even when results have been mixed.

Tactical contrast and key statistical edges

The numbers betray a telling contrast. Togo average nearly 97 attacks per match and sit on a dangerous attacks average of 66.89, while South Sudan manage 71.22 attacks with fewer cutting chances. Togo’s shot volume is similarly superior: 76 total shots and 36 on target across the competition compared to South Sudan’s 49 and 19, respectively. That attacking superiority, combined with a better defensive record (conceding 10 goals to South Sudan’s 19), makes Togo the more coherent outfit in this pairing. Head-to-head history is limited but their most recent meeting finished 1-1, showing South Sudan can be stubborn; nevertheless, the current campaign form and underlying metrics favor the visitors.

Prediction and betting suggestion

Given the data—Togo’s stronger attacking output, better group position and superior defensive record, plus the bookmakers’ support (1.75 on Togo to win)—this fixture looks tilted toward an away victory. The clean statistical advantage in shots, dangerous attacks and corners suggests Togo should control the game and create the better chances.

Betting suggestion: Back Togo to win (1X2 – Away) at the available price of 1.75. This selection aligns with form, attacking metrics and bookmaker probability, offering a sensible, value-driven play for this qualifier.