Prediction Spain vs Turkey 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 18/11/2025

Spain’s fortress in Sevilla meets Turkey’s rippling attack: the stage is set

Spain return to Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla on 18 November in a commanding mood. Group leaders with a perfect record, La Roja have not only won all five of their group games but have done so without conceding a single goal — a remarkable defensive streak that reads five clean sheets and 19 goals scored. Their recent win in Georgia (4-0) continued an unmistakable momentum, and the overall team form shows nine wins and one draw in the last ten fixtures. Playing at home in Sevilla, with a capacity crowd expected, Spain will fancy their chances of turning this into another emphatic chapter in an already one-sided qualifying campaign.

Turkey arrive in Andalusia holding second place, also impressive with four wins from five but carrying the clear scar of that 0-6 reverse when these two sides last met. The Turks have been prolific themselves across the group, netting 15 goals, but they have also been vulnerable at the back — conceding 10 — and that defensive imbalance becomes a critical factor when facing a Spain side that averages over 23 shots per game and has produced 49 shots on target in the group. Turkey’s recent 2-0 win over Bulgaria shows they can respond under pressure, but the gulf in defensive solidity between the teams is difficult to ignore.

Tactical glance and what the numbers suggest

Spain’s attacking numbers are relentless: high shot volumes, a healthy conversion into goals, and an ability to dominate dangerous attacks. Their home stats point to an aggressive control of matches and zero goals conceded so far in the group stage. Turkey’s profile is more attack-minded but less balanced; they create chances and score, yet their defensive lapses are costly — notably in the 0-6 H2H. In a match where Spain will likely dictate tempo and possession, Turkey could be forced into riskier transitions that play into Spain’s strengths.

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Betting suggestion: Based purely on the data — Spain’s perfect defensive record, dominant attacking metrics, home advantage in Sevilla and the history of a 6-0 win over Turkey earlier in qualifying — the clearest value lies in the 1X2 market: back Spain to win. This is the most straightforward, data-backed play given Spain’s cohesion and Turkey’s defensive frailties when matched against top opposition.