Prediction St. Mirren vs Hearts 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Premiership on 29/10/2025

Match outlook: A clash at The Smisa Stadium with the clear favourites

St. Mirren welcome league leaders Hearts to The Smisa Stadium on 29 October in a fixture that has the feel of a stern examination for the home side. St. Mirren sit ninth after nine games, their modest return of nine points built on two wins and three draws, while Hearts have roared to the summit unbeaten with eight wins and a single draw from nine matches. The recent form lines could not be clearer: St. Mirren arrive after a 3-1 defeat at Dundee United and a run that has seen more setbacks than strides, whereas Hearts come on the back of an impressive 3-1 victory over Celtic and an almost flawless sequence in domestic competition.

Tactical and statistical edge

Numbers paint a vivid picture of how this one might unfold. Hearts average a lofty 15.11 shots per game, with 53 efforts on target across the campaign and 22 goals scored in nine outings. They also boast five clean sheets, a sign of a team comfortable in both attack and defence. St. Mirren’s metrics are more modest: only six goals scored and ten conceded in nine matches, an output that underlines their struggles going forward. At home they have managed two clean sheets but have found goals hard to come by, netting only twice at The Smisa. The bookmakers mirror that gulf — Hearts are priced around 1.77 to win, compared with 4.30 for St. Mirren, and a draw sitting at 3.75.

Hearts’ recent confidence is palpable; wins against heavyweights and a consistent attack make them the likely aggressors. St. Mirren, by contrast, will be seeking to tighten up and frustrate, but their home numbers and paltry goalscoring record suggest they will have to be at their defensive best to keep this contest level.

Context, caution and value

There is always nuance: the teams drew 1-1 in the League Cup earlier in the season, a reminder that cups and single games can defy formbooks. Still, the weight of evidence points toward an away victory. For those sizing stakes and looking at broader approach, it’s worth refreshing fundamentals on staking and bankroll creation before committing funds — solid preparation can be as decisive as picking the right market, as explained in this piece on How to set values for sports betting and how to start creating a bankroll. For bettors refining market choice, a focused read on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets is also recommended.

Betting suggestion: Back Hearts (Away) to win in the 1X2 market. The form, shot volumes and defensive solidity all tilt toward an away victory at odds that represent reasonable value. Stake responsibly and consider sizing relative to your bankroll.