Prediction St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Season 2024/2025 – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 20 April 2025

As the Bundesliga heats up with the arrival of Matchday 30, fans are poised for a thrilling clash between St. Pauli and Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the iconic Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg. Scheduled to kick off on April 20, 2025, at 17:30 local time, this matchup promises high-stakes drama with both teams aiming to assert their positions as the season draws to a close.

Recent Form and Statistics

St. Pauli, sitting precariously in 15th place, comes into this match with a mixed bag of results. They have fought hard in recent fixtures, managing a notable win against Holstein Kiel (2-1) but struggling against titans like Bayern München, who edged them out 3-2 in a high-scoring affair. This season, St. Pauli has secured 8 wins, 5 draws, and faced defeat 16 times, scoring only 25 goals while conceding 35. While their defense has shown resilience with 8 clean sheets in 29 matches, their overall standing marks a battle against relegation.

Contrarily, Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been nothing short of stellar. Currently second in the league, they have racked up 18 wins and only 2 losses from 29 matches. Despite a recent draw against FC Union Berlin, Leverkusen boasts an impressive tally of 63 goals scored against just 34 conceded. Their offensive prowess has been complemented by a balanced defense, making them one of the most formidable teams this season. With a significant attacking average of over 119 dangerous attacks per game, Leverkusen certainly has the upper hand leading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Dynamics

Historically, Bayer 04 Leverkusen has had the advantage in their head-to-head meetings. In their last encounter back in December 2024, Leverkusen triumphed over St. Pauli 2-1, and the expectations remain high for them to continue this dominance. The odds clearly reflect this disparity in form and statistics.

Betting Tips and Predictions

The odds present a clear narrative: Bayer 04 Leverkusen is favored to win with a probability of approximately 60.02%, reflected in their odds of 1.66. In contrast, St. Pauli's odds of 5.25 indicate just a 19.05% chance of claiming victory. The draw is slightly more favorable at 3.80, showcasing a 26.32% probability.

Given the current standings and performance metrics, the safest betting suggestion is to back Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win this matchup. Their strong attacking form against a St. Pauli side fighting for survival suggests a high likelihood of a decisive victory for the away side. With Leverkusen's capacity to score and St. Pauli's vulnerabilities at the back, betting on a straightforward Leverkusen win appears to be the smartest move for bettors looking for value in this thrilling Bundesliga clash.