Prediction Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Pro League on 31/10/2025

Match context and mood at Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard Liège welcome Sporting Charleroi to Sclessin on October 31 in a Pro League clash that feels more like a toss-up than a derby — at least according to the bookmakers. Both sides carry identical 2.65 odds for victory, a neat reflection of two teams separated by a single point in the table and by fine margins in recent weeks. Standard arrive off the back of a cup win over SK Beveren where Thomas Henry impressed as the standout performer, while Charleroi also travelled to the Belgian Cup with a narrow victory, Yassine Khalifi earning plaudits for his performance. The atmosphere at the 27,670-capacity Stade Maurice Dufrasne should be lively, but form and underlying numbers give us plenty to chew on before kick-off.

Form, stats and what they tell us

Standard’s league campaign has been uneven: 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with just 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. Their recent pattern is patchy and, despite the cup success, their scoring output in the league remains light. Charleroi sit slightly higher in 10th with 15 points and have shown a better recent sequence on paper; their last fixtures include meaningful wins in the cup and a run that suggests more attacking threat.

Digging into the numbers, Charleroi lead marginally in attacking metrics — more total shots, more shots on target and a higher average of dangerous attacks. Standard’s home data include a curious trend of all recent home fixtures producing goals at both ends, while Charleroi have seen BTTS in around half of their matches. Over/under trends are mixed: Standard’s over-2.5 rate sits around 41.7% while Charleroi sit at about 50%, hinting at a match with a solid probability of goals but not a runaway scoreline.

Head-to-head memory is fresh: the two met in May with Charleroi taking a 1-0 win, a reminder that these fixtures are often tight and decided by small margins.

Where the value lies

This is a classic cup-rebound league clash: Standard will be buoyed by their recent cup result but remain fragile defensively; Charleroi look a touch sharper going forward and arrive with momentum. The market’s equality on 1X2 suggests no clear favourite, and that symmetry reduces value for a single-team back in the match-winner market.

Betting suggestion (goal market): Back Both Teams To Score — YES. The safest edge here is in expecting goals at both ends. Standard’s home matches have recently produced goals at both ends, Charleroi possess the attacking numbers to break down a team that concedes regularly, and neither side has an impressive clean-sheet record this season. For readers who want a tactical primer on market selection and how to approach goal markets, consult this Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and if you’re managing emotions or bankroll around razor-thin fixtures like this one, this piece on how to have emotional control when placing bets? is worth a read.

Final note: with 1X2 odds effectively balanced and Charleroi enjoying slightly better attacking metrics, BTTS‑Yes offers a blend of value and lower variance than picking a single side to win. Keep stakes measured and consider live adjustments once the first half unfolds.