Match context and form lines
Edgeley Park will stage a pivotal League One clash on 13/12/2025 as Stockport County welcome Stevenage for a Round 20 tussle that carries more than just three points. Stockport sit fourth in the table after 18 matches, buoyed by a return to form that includes a morale-boosting 2-0 win at Doncaster on 9 December where Ben Osborn earned plaudits as the side’s standout performer. That victory continued a sequence that shows Stockport capable of grinding out results at home; their recent sequence reads W-D-L-L-W-W-W-W-L-W and underlines a team with attacking verve but occasional defensive wobble — 25 goals scored and 21 conceded in the campaign so far.
Stevenage arrive in Stockport off the back of a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Cardiff, a match where Jordan Houghton was the side’s best-rated player despite the loss. The Hertfordshire outfit have accumulated 31 points from 17 fixtures and sit sixth — a dangerous position that often breeds teams comfortable at nicking results away from home. Their mixture of tight defensive displays (seven clean sheets) and inconsistency in attack has translated to 19 goals scored and a leaner 12 conceded overall.
Tactical sketch and likely battle
This promises to be a clash of contrasting rhythm. Stockport’s averages show a forward-leaning approach at home — higher totals of shots and attacking actions — while Stevenage’s defensive solidity on the road is reflected in their clean-sheet record. Head-to-head history tilts to Stockport after a 3-0 win earlier in the season, and the bookmakers list the home side as narrow favourites (Home 2.02, Draw 3.15, Away 3.90). Those odds mirror the on-pitch facts: Stockport have the points advantage and a strong recent run, but Stevenage are capable of frustrating and striking on the break.
Goal expectations swing between tight and competitive. Stockport’s home goals conceded (9) and Stevenage’s away record suggest low to medium scoring potential, yet Stevenage’s away matches have produced a higher proportion of both-teams-to-score outcomes, making a dry prediction on goals risky. If you are weighing goal markets, timing and match context are key — consider reading more on The right time to place bets on goal markets to align your approach with how these teams operate.
Where value may lie
Bookmakers give Stockport the edge and the home crowd at Edgeley Park (capacity 10,841) should lift them. If you are hunting for alternative perspectives on market fairness, a useful primer is How to spot opportunities on fair handicap lines? — understanding those lines can expose sharper angles when favourites are priced close to even money.
Betting suggestion: Back Stockport County to win (1) in the 1X2 market at around 2.02. The home side’s form, recent head-to-head success, and marginal favoritism in the odds combine to make a home victory the most logical single-market play here.