Stoke City set the tone at the Bet365 — home advantage and form point to favourites
Stoke City welcome Hull City to the Bet365 Stadium on November 29 with momentum on their side and the bookmakers clearly siding with them. Sitting second in the Championship after 17 rounds, Stoke have collected 30 points through a balanced run of nine wins, three draws and five defeats. Recent results underline a side that can defend stoutly at home — just five goals conceded on home soil this season and seven clean sheets overall — and that defensive discipline has been the foundation of their climb up the table. The 3-0 victory over Charlton on November 25 showcased Stoke’s ability to put a game to bed early, with Sorba Thomas earning the best-player billing in that win. Those performances help explain the market pricing: home victory is trading around 1.69, a reflection of a 59% implied chance according to the latest bookmaker snapshot.
Hull City arrive with high-goal tendencies but inconsistent away form
Hull arrive in Stoke off the back of a 0-2 reverse at Ipswich and occupy 11th spot in the table with 25 points. Their underlying numbers suggest an attacking inclination — 28 goals scored this season and a league-leading tendency toward matches that go over 2.5 goals, with over 70% of their fixtures seeing more than two goals. Yet Hull’s defensive fragility is also clear, having conceded 29 goals overall and just three clean sheets so far. Recent head-to-heads have swung either way; Stoke won 2-1 in their last meeting at Hull earlier this year, and the Tigers will look for revenge. Joe Gelhardt was Hull’s standout performer in their latest outing despite the defeat, but Hull’s away defensive record (15 goals conceded on their travels) is a vulnerability that Stoke will try to exploit.
Stoke’s statistical profile — fewer goals conceded, more clean sheets and stronger home attacking numbers — contrasts with Hull’s entertaining but fragile approach. The championship duel at the Bet365 feels like a classic contrast of structure against volatility: Stoke’s organised home record versus Hull’s attacking, higher-risk style.
For readers who want to sharpen their approach to choosing markets, practical advice on market selection can help frame today’s decision; consider reading these practical guides on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and why timing matters when thinking about goals in a match via The right time to place bets on goal markets. If you’re managing emotion while staking on matches like this, a useful read is How to have emotional control when placing bets?
Betting suggestion Back Stoke City to win (1X2 — Home) at the available 1.69 quote. The combination of Stoke’s superior home defensive record, recent 3-0 confidence-boosting performance and Hull’s tendency to concede on the road makes the home win the most value-aligned pick from the two main markets. Stake sensibly and consider this as a straight single rather than a multiple to keep risk manageable.