Prediction Sturm Graz vs Bodø / Glimt 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Champions League on 26/08/2025

Match context and recent form

Sturm Graz return to Wörthersee Stadion on August 26 in a Champions League play-off that promises fireworks after a bruising recent encounter between these sides. The Austrians arrive on the back of mixed domestic results — flashes of potency offset by a heavy European reverse. Their last outing against Bodø / Glimt ended disastrously, a 5-0 defeat in mid‑August that saw Sturm Graz overwhelmed both in the first half and across the full 90. Across their latest ten matches the home side’s form reads as a rollercoaster: five wins, one draw and four defeats. That inconsistency is worrying when stacked against the visitors’ rhythm.

Bodø / Glimt’s momentum and tactical edge

Bodø / Glimt stroll into this fixture with clear momentum. Undefeated in their last ten games with eight wins and two draws, they are in the sort of shape that often carries through into continental ties. Their previous meeting showcased their ability to dominate: 17 total shots with six on target and clinical finishing led to a comprehensive 5-0 scoreline. The away team’s recent domestic results underline confidence and cutting edge — they have been prolific, converting pressure into goals while keeping a clean sheet in that head-to-head clash. Fredrik André Bjørkan was the stand-out performer in that victory, earning the best-player rating and symbolizing the visitors’ swing in intensity and threat.

Where the game can be won and lost

This fixture is likely to pivot on two clear contours. First, Sturm Graz must find answers at both ends of the pitch after conceding heavily; their home stats tell a story of chances created but a vulnerability at the back. Second, Bodø / Glimt bring superior attacking numbers — more shots, more shots inside the box and a higher count of dangerous attacks — which suggest they can exploit any defensive frailties. Wörthersee Stadion will be lively, but home advantage may not be enough to swing the tie back in Sturm Graz’s favor given recent evidence.

Betting suggestion

Considering form, the recent 5-0 head-to-head and the supporting statistics — higher shot volume and dangerous attacks from Bodø / Glimt — the clearest market to target is the 1X2. Back Bodø / Glimt to win. The away side’s confidence, their unbeaten run and the psychological edge from the earlier emphatic victory make them the most sensible pick in this matchup.