Prediction Sudan vs Mauritania 2026 – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025

Match context and what’s at stake

Two teams with contrasting trajectories meet in Dar-es-Salaam on 10 October as Sudan host Mauritania in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers. Sudan arrive sitting third in the group with 12 points from eight matches and a relatively sturdy defensive record — five goals conceded so far in the campaign and four clean sheets registered. Mauritania, by contrast, occupy fifth place with six points and have struggled for goals, netting only four while shipping nine. The standings make this fixture important for Sudan as they seek to consolidate their position in the group, while Mauritania are in search of consistency after a mixed run of results.

Form, recent meetings and tactical clues

Recent results paint a nuanced picture. Sudan’s latest outings include a narrow defeat to Togo and a mixture of draws and sporadic wins; their form string reads with peaks and troughs. Mauritania come in having earned a goalless draw in their most recent game and with a mini-streak of wins earlier in the campaign, suggesting they can be dangerous on their day. The last head-to-head in the same qualifying competition ended 2-0 in Sudan’s favour when the two met in June 2024, so the psychological edge is with the visitors-turned-hosts in name: Sudan know how to get the job done against these opponents.

Statistically, Mauritania actually produce more attacking volume — higher totals in shots (76 to Sudan’s 55), more dangerous attacks and a greater average of overall attacks. Yet that attacking activity has not translated into goals, and their defensive record is leakier. Sudan, while not as prolific going forward, concede less and have managed to keep more clean sheets. Both teams show low frequency of high-scoring games overall in this group; the over-2.5 goals percentage is low for both sides.

How the game is likely to unfold

Expect a match where Mauritania will look to press and create chances, but Sudan will be comfortable sitting slightly deeper and looking to control the tempo through organized defending and selective forward forays. Given Mauritania’s tendency to produce shots without consistent clinical finishing, and Sudan’s ability to keep clean sheets, the contest looks poised to be tight rather than open and high-scoring. Set-piece situations and a quiet, attritional midfield battle could decide the outcome more than end-to-end fireworks.

Betting suggestion

Taking into account the defensive solidity of Sudan, Mauritania’s struggle to convert chances, the low over-2.5 goals percentages for both teams and the recent goalless and low-scoring results, the recommendation for this fixture is to back Under 2.5 Goals. This goal-market pick reflects the statistical trend toward tight scorelines and clean-sheet potential for Sudan while recognizing Mauritania’s inability so far to produce high-scoring returns.