Match context and mood in Sumqayıt
The quarter-final tie at Kapital Bank Arena on 04/02/2026 promises a compact, intense encounter as Sumqayıt host Zira in the Azerbaijan Cup. Sumqayıt arrive off a morale-boosting 2-0 win over Karvan on 30 January, and they’ll lean on home comforts — a small 3,000-capacity venue where momentum and noise can matter. Zira, meanwhile, come through a mixed run of results and were beaten 1-3 by Sabah just days ago; that loss leaves questions about their resilience away from home heading into knockout football.
Form, recent results and what the numbers say
Sumqayıt’s recent sequence is patchy but shows an ability to win when it matters: their form reads W-L-L-L-L-D-W-W-W-L across the latest ten, which translates to four wins, one draw and five defeats. That inconsistency can be worrying, but the home side’s attacking metrics stand out in the dataset provided — 40 total shots and 15 on target in the period measured, with an average of 124.5 attacks and 80 dangerous attacks per match. Those figures hint at a side that presses forward and creates chances.
Zira’s recent form is more conservative, heavy on draws: L-D-L-D-D-L-D-W-W-W. Their attacking numbers are modest in comparison — just six total shots and two on target in the same snapshot, fewer attacks and fewer dangerous moves. Zira have shown stubbornness to avoid defeat with several draws, but in cup football a lack of offensive output away from home can be costly.
Head-to-head history adds a sliver of caution for Sumqayıt: the most recent meeting in October 2025 ended 1-0 for Zira. Cup dynamics change quickly, though, and Sumqayıt’s home attack profile coupled with Zira’s low shot averages suggests Sumqayıt may be able to impose themselves on this tie.
Tactical edge and key moments to watch
Expect Sumqayıt to press and look for chances from the flanks and inside the box, given their higher shots and attacks averages. Zira will likely aim for structure and the counter, trying to frustrate the hosts and catch them on the break. Set pieces in a narrower stadium and early intensity could decide the game — the quarters leave little room for slow starts.
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Betting suggestion
Given the home advantage, Sumqayıt’s superior attacking output in the provided stats and Zira’s limited shot production on the dataset, the most sensible single-market play from the available options is a 1X2 selection: back Sumqayıt to win. This pick leans on Sumqayıt’s recent cup confidence, the temptation of home territory, and the likelihood that Zira will struggle to create enough clear-cut chances away from their base. As always, stake responsibly and consider match-day factors — lineups and late injury news — before committing.
