This opening Final Round fixture in the 2026 WC Qualification Concacaf pits Suriname against Panama at the Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion in Paramaribo on 04/09/2025. The intimate 3,500-capacity venue promises a raucous home crowd that could lift Suriname, but the wider picture favours an organized and in-form Panama side. Suriname arrive with mixed recent results — a draw with the Dominican Republic, defeats to Mexico and Costa Rica, and a narrow win over Puerto Rico — while Panama have been in strong scoring form in the Gold Cup build-up, piling up wins and showing consistent attacking output.
Looking at the form lines, Panama carry momentum. Their recent sequence includes several comfortable wins and a narrow quarter-final exit on penalties to Honduras in the Gold Cup. Across their last 10 fixtures they’ve recorded six wins, one draw and three defeats, with notable high-scoring victories such as 4-1 and 5-2. Panama’s numbers underline attacking intent: more total shots, higher shots on target and a better clean-sheet count than Suriname.
Suriname are not without bite. The hosts have shown resilience — a sequence featuring draws and narrow losses alongside some wins — but the defensive frailties that led to a 4-3 defeat to Costa Rica and a 0-2 loss to Mexico will be a concern against a Panama side that looks dangerous in transition and clinical in the final third. Suriname’s home stats point to a team that creates chances (attacks average over 100) but can be porous at the back; they’ve kept just two clean sheets recently.
The tactical battle should centre around Panama’s ability to convert possession and shot volume into goals, against Suriname’s willingness to press and seek quick transitions. Home advantage for Suriname adds spice — the Paramaribo crowd can unsettle visiting teams — but Panama’s recent scoring run suggests they can handle an away assignment.
From the immediate prior fixtures, Liam van Gelderen earned top billing for Suriname in their drawn outing with the Dominican Republic, while A. Andrade was the stand-out for Panama in their Gold Cup quarter-final. Those individual performances underline the competitive edge both sides will bring into this international fixture.
Betting suggestion: Goal market — Both Teams to Score (Yes). Given Panama’s attacking output away from the capital and Suriname’s tendency to concede and yet find the net in recent matches, BTTS looks like the strongest value play from the available markets.
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