Prediction Surkhon Termez vs OKMK 2025 season – Betting Tips for the Super league on 20/11/2025

Match context and mood

Surkhon Termez welcome OKMK to what could be a decisive late-season tussle in the Super league on November 20. This is a classic top-half-versus-lower-half encounter on paper: Surkhon sit 10th with 31 points while OKMK occupy a more comfortable sixth place with 44. But table position only tells part of the story — both sides arrive with mixed recent form and clear strengths that suggest an open, competitive game.

Form, recent results and what matters

Surkhon’s late-season record reads like a team oscillating between resilience and fragility. They have produced eye-catching home performances — including a 1-0 victory over Shurtan on November 10 — yet their run contains more losses than victories, and their recent sequence shows inconsistency. Home numbers underline that unpredictability: Surkhon have 17 home goals and a respectable number of clean sheets, signalling they can be compact and stingy on familiar turf.

OKMK bring more attacking potency to the fixture. With 42 goals overall and a recent 3-1 win over Navbakhor, they possess scoring firepower and the ability to finish chances. Yet their form is patchy too — oscillating wins, draws and losses — and their defensive ledger has cracks, with 34 goals conceded across the season. The June H2H meeting gives Surkhon a psychological edge too: the home side beat OKMK 1-0 previously, proving that upsets are possible.

Key takeaways from the numbers

Statistically this game leans toward goals but not necessarily a goal-fest. OKMK have shown a higher rate of scoring across the campaign, while Surkhon’s home goal numbers and clean sheets hint they will not be easily overrun. Over 2.5 goals has landed in roughly half of OKMK’s matches and in a little under half of Surkhon’s fixtures, suggesting a moderate chance of multiple goals. Both teams have also been capable of altering momentum quickly — recent best-player mentions like Khurshid Giyosov for OKMK and Sarvar Abduhamidov for Surkhon indicate match-winners can appear in isolated moments.

Prediction and betting rationale

Expect an open first half with OKMK nudging the play and Surkhon sitting disciplined, aiming to hit on the counter. Given OKMK’s superior attacking record but their defensive vulnerabilities, and Surkhon’s ability to keep clean sheets at home, the most sensible market here is a goal-based option rather than a straight-out 1X2 shot. For readers looking to combine strategy with prudence, the match profiles well for a goal-market wager.

Suggested reading to refine your approach includes focused pieces on timing goal bets and tempering emotion, such as the right time to place bets on goal markets and practical guidance on how to have emotional control when placing bets, which can help turn a good pick into a smart play.

Betting suggestion: Goal market — Back Over 1.5 goals. The balance of OKMK’s scoring threat and Surkhon’s occasional defensive lapses makes Over 1.5 a high-probability, value-conscious pick for this fixture. Keep stakes measured given both teams’ inconsistency; consider a conservative stake size or a small unit on a multi that includes safer legs to manage risk.